California’s 7th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, features an all-Democratic general election matchup after the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang. The district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Sacramento-area demographics have produced consistent Democratic majorities, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party outcome above 90 percent. With the Republican candidates eliminated, the November result hinges on Democratic turnout and any late internal dynamics between the two nominees. A significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCA-07 House Election Winner
CA-07 House Election Winner
$12,782 Vol.
$12,782 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$12,782 Vol.
$12,782 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,634 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$6,147 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 7th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, features an all-Democratic general election matchup after the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang. The district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Sacramento-area demographics have produced consistent Democratic majorities, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party outcome above 90 percent. With the Republican candidates eliminated, the November result hinges on Democratic turnout and any late internal dynamics between the two nominees. A significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$12,782Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 7th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, features an all-Democratic general election matchup after the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang. The district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Sacramento-area demographics have produced consistent Democratic majorities, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party outcome above 90 percent. With the Republican candidates eliminated, the November result hinges on Democratic turnout and any late internal dynamics between the two nominees. A significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,782Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 7th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, features an all-Democratic general election matchup after the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang. The district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Sacramento-area demographics have produced consistent Democratic majorities, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party outcome above 90 percent. With the Republican candidates eliminated, the November result hinges on Democratic turnout and any late internal dynamics between the two nominees. A significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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