Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 1993 and re-elected with 70 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after uncontested primaries, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and two independents trail sharply in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current campaign dynamics make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
VA-03 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$63,420 Vol.
$63,420 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
96%
Edwin Rivera (R)
4%
$63,420 Vol.
$63,420 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
$21,576 Vol.
96%
Edwin Rivera (R)
$41,845 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 1993 and re-elected with 70 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after uncontested primaries, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and two independents trail sharply in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current campaign dynamics make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$63,420Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 1993 and re-elected with 70 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after uncontested primaries, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and two independents trail sharply in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current campaign dynamics make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,420Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 1993 and re-elected with 70 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after uncontested primaries, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and two independents trail sharply in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current campaign dynamics make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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