Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 3rd congressional district with roughly 75 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Berney Flowers emerged as the Republican nominee. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party, underpins trader consensus around Elfreth’s position. Her campaign has reported over $1 million in fundraising compared with roughly $13,000 for Flowers, widening the resource gap ahead of the November 3 general election. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Late-breaking events such as unexpected turnout shifts or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence final vote margins in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$45,762 Vol.
$45,762 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Sarah Elfreth (D)
96%
Berney Flowers (R)
5%
$45,762 Vol.
$45,762 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Sarah Elfreth (D)
$20,975 Vol.
96%
Berney Flowers (R)
$24,788 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 3rd congressional district with roughly 75 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Berney Flowers emerged as the Republican nominee. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party, underpins trader consensus around Elfreth’s position. Her campaign has reported over $1 million in fundraising compared with roughly $13,000 for Flowers, widening the resource gap ahead of the November 3 general election. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Late-breaking events such as unexpected turnout shifts or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence final vote margins in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,762Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 3rd congressional district with roughly 75 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Berney Flowers emerged as the Republican nominee. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party, underpins trader consensus around Elfreth’s position. Her campaign has reported over $1 million in fundraising compared with roughly $13,000 for Flowers, widening the resource gap ahead of the November 3 general election. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Late-breaking events such as unexpected turnout shifts or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence final vote margins in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,762Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sarah Elfreth secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 3rd congressional district with roughly 75 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Berney Flowers emerged as the Republican nominee. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party, underpins trader consensus around Elfreth’s position. Her campaign has reported over $1 million in fundraising compared with roughly $13,000 for Flowers, widening the resource gap ahead of the November 3 general election. No major developments have altered the race’s trajectory since the primaries. Late-breaking events such as unexpected turnout shifts or unforeseen candidate issues could still influence final vote margins in this heavily Democratic-leaning district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions