The Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling blocking the Republican-drawn congressional map for the November 2026 general election has positioned incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver as the market favorite in the MO-05 race. The decision reverts boundaries to the prior configuration that concentrates Kansas City voters, preserving the district’s established Democratic lean after primaries were conducted under the more GOP-friendly lines. State Sen. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee, secured his primary win in August but has described the revised map as significantly more challenging. Ongoing legal uncertainty around redistricting and the November 3 ballot continues to shape trader assessments of the two candidates’ relative prospects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
$29,351 Vol.
$29,351 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
86%
Rick Brattin (R)
12%
$29,351 Vol.
$29,351 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
$11,819 Vol.
86%
Rick Brattin (R)
$17,554 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling blocking the Republican-drawn congressional map for the November 2026 general election has positioned incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver as the market favorite in the MO-05 race. The decision reverts boundaries to the prior configuration that concentrates Kansas City voters, preserving the district’s established Democratic lean after primaries were conducted under the more GOP-friendly lines. State Sen. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee, secured his primary win in August but has described the revised map as significantly more challenging. Ongoing legal uncertainty around redistricting and the November 3 ballot continues to shape trader assessments of the two candidates’ relative prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$29,351Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling blocking the Republican-drawn congressional map for the November 2026 general election has positioned incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver as the market favorite in the MO-05 race. The decision reverts boundaries to the prior configuration that concentrates Kansas City voters, preserving the district’s established Democratic lean after primaries were conducted under the more GOP-friendly lines. State Sen. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee, secured his primary win in August but has described the revised map as significantly more challenging. Ongoing legal uncertainty around redistricting and the November 3 ballot continues to shape trader assessments of the two candidates’ relative prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,351Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling blocking the Republican-drawn congressional map for the November 2026 general election has positioned incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver as the market favorite in the MO-05 race. The decision reverts boundaries to the prior configuration that concentrates Kansas City voters, preserving the district’s established Democratic lean after primaries were conducted under the more GOP-friendly lines. State Sen. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee, secured his primary win in August but has described the revised map as significantly more challenging. Ongoing legal uncertainty around redistricting and the November 3 ballot continues to shape trader assessments of the two candidates’ relative prospects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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