Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri’s 6th congressional district primary with 44% of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves, positioning him as the clear general election favorite in a district with longstanding Republican dominance. Josh Smead won the Democratic primary with 48% but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have consistently won by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Stigall reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of major post-primary developments that could alter the race trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow and include unforeseen scandals, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
MO-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$43,095 Vol.
$43,095 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Chris Stigall (R)
95%
Josh Smead (D)
6%
$43,095 Vol.
$43,095 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Chris Stigall (R)
$27,455 Vol.
95%
Josh Smead (D)
$15,640 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri’s 6th congressional district primary with 44% of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves, positioning him as the clear general election favorite in a district with longstanding Republican dominance. Josh Smead won the Democratic primary with 48% but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have consistently won by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Stigall reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of major post-primary developments that could alter the race trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow and include unforeseen scandals, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$43,095Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri’s 6th congressional district primary with 44% of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves, positioning him as the clear general election favorite in a district with longstanding Republican dominance. Josh Smead won the Democratic primary with 48% but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have consistently won by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Stigall reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of major post-primary developments that could alter the race trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow and include unforeseen scandals, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,095Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination in Missouri’s 6th congressional district primary with 44% of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves, positioning him as the clear general election favorite in a district with longstanding Republican dominance. Josh Smead won the Democratic primary with 48% but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have consistently won by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Stigall reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of major post-primary developments that could alter the race trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow and include unforeseen scandals, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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