Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman holds a commanding position in California's 32nd congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+14 to D+17 partisan voting index and Sherman's 66% victory in 2024. As a 15-term representative, Sherman advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson, outpacing a crowded field of Democratic challengers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Sherman's substantial fundraising edge and established voter base across Los Angeles and Ventura counties. Thompson, a centrist film producer and repeat challenger with limited resources, faces structural barriers in a district that includes Democratic strongholds. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-32
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-32
$26,140 Vol.
$26,140 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brad Sherman (D)
95%
Larry Thompson (R)
1%
$26,140 Vol.
$26,140 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brad Sherman (D)
$12,387 Vol.
95%
Larry Thompson (R)
$13,753 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman holds a commanding position in California's 32nd congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+14 to D+17 partisan voting index and Sherman's 66% victory in 2024. As a 15-term representative, Sherman advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson, outpacing a crowded field of Democratic challengers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Sherman's substantial fundraising edge and established voter base across Los Angeles and Ventura counties. Thompson, a centrist film producer and repeat challenger with limited resources, faces structural barriers in a district that includes Democratic strongholds. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$26,140Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman holds a commanding position in California's 32nd congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+14 to D+17 partisan voting index and Sherman's 66% victory in 2024. As a 15-term representative, Sherman advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson, outpacing a crowded field of Democratic challengers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Sherman's substantial fundraising edge and established voter base across Los Angeles and Ventura counties. Thompson, a centrist film producer and repeat challenger with limited resources, faces structural barriers in a district that includes Democratic strongholds. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,140Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman holds a commanding position in California's 32nd congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+14 to D+17 partisan voting index and Sherman's 66% victory in 2024. As a 15-term representative, Sherman advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Larry Thompson, outpacing a crowded field of Democratic challengers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Sherman's substantial fundraising edge and established voter base across Los Angeles and Ventura counties. Thompson, a centrist film producer and repeat challenger with limited resources, faces structural barriers in a district that includes Democratic strongholds. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions