Joe Neguse benefits from representing a solidly Democratic district in north-central Colorado, including Boulder and Fort Collins, where the partisan voter index favors Democrats by roughly 20 points and he captured over 68 percent in the prior cycle. As the incumbent since 2019 and a senior House Democrat, Neguse ran unopposed in the June 2026 primary while maintaining strong name recognition and fundraising. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who won her low-turnout primary, faces structural disadvantages in a race rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Neguse reflects these factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara CO-02
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara CO-02
$40,731 Vol.
$40,731 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Joe Neguse (D)
95%
Kelley Dennison (R)
3%
$40,731 Vol.
$40,731 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Joe Neguse (D)
$19,162 Vol.
95%
Kelley Dennison (R)
$21,569 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Neguse benefits from representing a solidly Democratic district in north-central Colorado, including Boulder and Fort Collins, where the partisan voter index favors Democrats by roughly 20 points and he captured over 68 percent in the prior cycle. As the incumbent since 2019 and a senior House Democrat, Neguse ran unopposed in the June 2026 primary while maintaining strong name recognition and fundraising. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who won her low-turnout primary, faces structural disadvantages in a race rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Neguse reflects these factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$40,731Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Neguse benefits from representing a solidly Democratic district in north-central Colorado, including Boulder and Fort Collins, where the partisan voter index favors Democrats by roughly 20 points and he captured over 68 percent in the prior cycle. As the incumbent since 2019 and a senior House Democrat, Neguse ran unopposed in the June 2026 primary while maintaining strong name recognition and fundraising. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who won her low-turnout primary, faces structural disadvantages in a race rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Neguse reflects these factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,731Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Joe Neguse benefits from representing a solidly Democratic district in north-central Colorado, including Boulder and Fort Collins, where the partisan voter index favors Democrats by roughly 20 points and he captured over 68 percent in the prior cycle. As the incumbent since 2019 and a senior House Democrat, Neguse ran unopposed in the June 2026 primary while maintaining strong name recognition and fundraising. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who won her low-turnout primary, faces structural disadvantages in a race rated safe or solid Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Neguse reflects these factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions