Kat Cammack holds a commanding position in Florida's 3rd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by her 61.6% victory in 2024, underpins trader consensus around her high implied probability. She advanced unopposed in the August 18 Republican primary after raising over $2 million, while Democratic nominee Seth Harp, who prevailed in his party's primary with 45% of the vote, has raised far less. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent redistricting shifts or major developments altering the balance. A significant scandal, unexpected national political wave, or health event could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable based on current evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-03 House Election Winner
FL-03 House Election Winner
$29,942 Vol.
$29,942 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kat Cammack (R)
94%
Seth Harp (D)
6%
$29,942 Vol.
$29,942 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kat Cammack (R)
$11,666 Vol.
94%
Seth Harp (D)
$18,276 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kat Cammack holds a commanding position in Florida's 3rd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by her 61.6% victory in 2024, underpins trader consensus around her high implied probability. She advanced unopposed in the August 18 Republican primary after raising over $2 million, while Democratic nominee Seth Harp, who prevailed in his party's primary with 45% of the vote, has raised far less. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent redistricting shifts or major developments altering the balance. A significant scandal, unexpected national political wave, or health event could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$29,942Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kat Cammack holds a commanding position in Florida's 3rd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by her 61.6% victory in 2024, underpins trader consensus around her high implied probability. She advanced unopposed in the August 18 Republican primary after raising over $2 million, while Democratic nominee Seth Harp, who prevailed in his party's primary with 45% of the vote, has raised far less. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent redistricting shifts or major developments altering the balance. A significant scandal, unexpected national political wave, or health event could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,942Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kat Cammack holds a commanding position in Florida's 3rd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking reelection on November 3, 2026. The district's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by her 61.6% victory in 2024, underpins trader consensus around her high implied probability. She advanced unopposed in the August 18 Republican primary after raising over $2 million, while Democratic nominee Seth Harp, who prevailed in his party's primary with 45% of the vote, has raised far less. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with no recent redistricting shifts or major developments altering the balance. A significant scandal, unexpected national political wave, or health event could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such shifts improbable based on current evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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