Aaron Bean holds a commanding position in Florida's 4th Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent since 2023, and a canceled Republican primary that allowed him to focus resources on the general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican as of mid-September 2026. LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary but faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising of roughly $27,000 compared to Bean's more than $2 million. The November 3 general election includes minor-party candidates, yet trader consensus aligns with historical results and the absence of recent polling or events that would narrow the gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-04 Vencedor da eleição da casa
FL-04 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$27,450 Vol.
$27,450 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Aaron Bean (R)
89%
LaShonda Holloway (D)
11%
$27,450 Vol.
$27,450 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Aaron Bean (R)
$16,752 Vol.
89%
LaShonda Holloway (D)
$10,698 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Bean holds a commanding position in Florida's 4th Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent since 2023, and a canceled Republican primary that allowed him to focus resources on the general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican as of mid-September 2026. LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary but faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising of roughly $27,000 compared to Bean's more than $2 million. The November 3 general election includes minor-party candidates, yet trader consensus aligns with historical results and the absence of recent polling or events that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$27,450Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Bean holds a commanding position in Florida's 4th Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent since 2023, and a canceled Republican primary that allowed him to focus resources on the general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican as of mid-September 2026. LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary but faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising of roughly $27,000 compared to Bean's more than $2 million. The November 3 general election includes minor-party candidates, yet trader consensus aligns with historical results and the absence of recent polling or events that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,450Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Bean holds a commanding position in Florida's 4th Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, his status as incumbent since 2023, and a canceled Republican primary that allowed him to focus resources on the general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican as of mid-September 2026. LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary but faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising of roughly $27,000 compared to Bean's more than $2 million. The November 3 general election includes minor-party candidates, yet trader consensus aligns with historical results and the absence of recent polling or events that would narrow the gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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