Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 20°C in Amsterdam on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the early-September climatological average maximum of 19–22°C, positioning 20°C as the consensus outcome with 63% implied probability. Recent observations show no anomalous warming or cooling trends through late August, and ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 19–21°C without strong signals for outliers. Stable atmospheric patterns and lack of frontal systems or blocking highs reduce the chance of deviation, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in the final 24 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 1 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 1 de setembro?
20°C 64%
21°C 24%
19°C 11%
22°C 2%
NOVO
$14,088 Vol.
NOVO
$14,088 Vol.
1 set 2026
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
64%
21°C
24%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 64%
21°C 24%
19°C 11%
22°C 2%
NOVO
$14,088 Vol.
NOVO
$14,088 Vol.
1 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$245 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$514 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,051 Vol.
11%
20°C
$3,523 Vol.
64%
21°C
$6,748 Vol.
24%
22°C
$800 Vol.
2%
23°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou mais
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 20°C in Amsterdam on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the early-September climatological average maximum of 19–22°C, positioning 20°C as the consensus outcome with 63% implied probability. Recent observations show no anomalous warming or cooling trends through late August, and ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 19–21°C without strong signals for outliers. Stable atmospheric patterns and lack of frontal systems or blocking highs reduce the chance of deviation, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in the final 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$14,088Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 20°C in Amsterdam on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the early-September climatological average maximum of 19–22°C, positioning 20°C as the consensus outcome with 63% implied probability. Recent observations show no anomalous warming or cooling trends through late August, and ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 19–21°C without strong signals for outliers. Stable atmospheric patterns and lack of frontal systems or blocking highs reduce the chance of deviation, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in the final 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,088Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 20°C in Amsterdam on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the early-September climatological average maximum of 19–22°C, positioning 20°C as the consensus outcome with 63% implied probability. Recent observations show no anomalous warming or cooling trends through late August, and ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 19–21°C without strong signals for outliers. Stable atmospheric patterns and lack of frontal systems or blocking highs reduce the chance of deviation, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in the final 24 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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