**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a September 1 high temperature in Beijing of 28–30°C under stable, mostly clear or partly cloudy conditions with light northerly to southerly winds.** This places the market’s leading 30°C outcome (50% implied probability) at the center of model consensus, while 31°C (28%) and 29°C (16.5%) capture the narrow uncertainty band around that cluster. Early September marks Beijing’s typical transition from summer heat to milder autumn conditions, with climatological daily highs near 29°C and minimal day-to-day volatility absent major synoptic changes. Current runs show no incoming cold fronts, significant moisture, or cloud cover that would substantially suppress or elevate maximum temperatures, supporting the tight distribution traders have priced. Official monitoring and ensemble guidance issued in the final days of August reinforce this narrow range, with limited upside risk above 31°C or downside below 29°C given the benign pattern. The market’s pricing therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of these short-term observational and model data rather than any single outlier forecast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 1 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 1 de setembro?
30°C 52%
31°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
16%
30°C
52%
31°C
28%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 52%
31°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
24°C or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$496 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$740 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,229 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,102 Vol.
16%
30°C
$1,274 Vol.
52%
31°C
$565 Vol.
28%
32°C
$518 Vol.
6%
33°C
$630 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$548 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a September 1 high temperature in Beijing of 28–30°C under stable, mostly clear or partly cloudy conditions with light northerly to southerly winds.** This places the market’s leading 30°C outcome (50% implied probability) at the center of model consensus, while 31°C (28%) and 29°C (16.5%) capture the narrow uncertainty band around that cluster.
Early September marks Beijing’s typical transition from summer heat to milder autumn conditions, with climatological daily highs near 29°C and minimal day-to-day volatility absent major synoptic changes. Current runs show no incoming cold fronts, significant moisture, or cloud cover that would substantially suppress or elevate maximum temperatures, supporting the tight distribution traders have priced.
Official monitoring and ensemble guidance issued in the final days of August reinforce this narrow range, with limited upside risk above 31°C or downside below 29°C given the benign pattern. The market’s pricing therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of these short-term observational and model data rather than any single outlier forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,705Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a September 1 high temperature in Beijing of 28–30°C under stable, mostly clear or partly cloudy conditions with light northerly to southerly winds.** This places the market’s leading 30°C outcome (50% implied probability) at the center of model consensus, while 31°C (28%) and 29°C (16.5%) capture the narrow uncertainty band around that cluster.
Early September marks Beijing’s typical transition from summer heat to milder autumn conditions, with climatological daily highs near 29°C and minimal day-to-day volatility absent major synoptic changes. Current runs show no incoming cold fronts, significant moisture, or cloud cover that would substantially suppress or elevate maximum temperatures, supporting the tight distribution traders have priced.
Official monitoring and ensemble guidance issued in the final days of August reinforce this narrow range, with limited upside risk above 31°C or downside below 29°C given the benign pattern. The market’s pricing therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of these short-term observational and model data rather than any single outlier forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,705Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a September 1 high temperature in Beijing of 28–30°C under stable, mostly clear or partly cloudy conditions with light northerly to southerly winds.** This places the market’s leading 30°C outcome (50% implied probability) at the center of model consensus, while 31°C (28%) and 29°C (16.5%) capture the narrow uncertainty band around that cluster. Early September marks Beijing’s typical transition from summer heat to milder autumn conditions, with climatological daily highs near 29°C and minimal day-to-day volatility absent major synoptic changes. Current runs show no incoming cold fronts, significant moisture, or cloud cover that would substantially suppress or elevate maximum temperatures, supporting the tight distribution traders have priced. Official monitoring and ensemble guidance issued in the final days of August reinforce this narrow range, with limited upside risk above 31°C or downside below 29°C given the benign pattern. The market’s pricing therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of these short-term observational and model data rather than any single outlier forecast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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