Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for September 1 points to a mostly cloudy day with southwest flow and a 50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, supporting market-implied odds favoring an 82–85°F peak. Persistent humidity and cloud cover are expected to limit full insolation, keeping the daily maximum near or slightly above the long-term September 1 average of roughly 81°F while steering patterns favor modest warming from recent cooler conditions. Minor model spread on convective timing and cloud breaks creates the tight clustering between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes that would require either strong clearing or widespread rain-cooled air. Updated forecast discussions and any overnight model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 1º de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 1º de setembro?
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 20%
30-31°C 10%
NOVO
$10,950 Vol.
NOVO
$10,950 Vol.
1 set 2026
73°F ou menos
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
27%
30-31°C
10%
88-89°F
5%
32-32,8°C
2%
92°F ou mais
<1%
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 20%
30-31°C 10%
NOVO
$10,950 Vol.
NOVO
$10,950 Vol.
1 set 2026
73°F ou menos
$168 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$422 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$165 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$383 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$1,354 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$1,230 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$1,263 Vol.
27%
30-31°C
$1,825 Vol.
10%
88-89°F
$1,801 Vol.
5%
32-32,8°C
$1,598 Vol.
2%
92°F ou mais
$740 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for September 1 points to a mostly cloudy day with southwest flow and a 50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, supporting market-implied odds favoring an 82–85°F peak. Persistent humidity and cloud cover are expected to limit full insolation, keeping the daily maximum near or slightly above the long-term September 1 average of roughly 81°F while steering patterns favor modest warming from recent cooler conditions. Minor model spread on convective timing and cloud breaks creates the tight clustering between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes that would require either strong clearing or widespread rain-cooled air. Updated forecast discussions and any overnight model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,950Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for September 1 points to a mostly cloudy day with southwest flow and a 50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, supporting market-implied odds favoring an 82–85°F peak. Persistent humidity and cloud cover are expected to limit full insolation, keeping the daily maximum near or slightly above the long-term September 1 average of roughly 81°F while steering patterns favor modest warming from recent cooler conditions. Minor model spread on convective timing and cloud breaks creates the tight clustering between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes that would require either strong clearing or widespread rain-cooled air. Updated forecast discussions and any overnight model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,950Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for September 1 points to a mostly cloudy day with southwest flow and a 50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, supporting market-implied odds favoring an 82–85°F peak. Persistent humidity and cloud cover are expected to limit full insolation, keeping the daily maximum near or slightly above the long-term September 1 average of roughly 81°F while steering patterns favor modest warming from recent cooler conditions. Minor model spread on convective timing and cloud breaks creates the tight clustering between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes that would require either strong clearing or widespread rain-cooled air. Updated forecast discussions and any overnight model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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