Incumbent Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race reflects his repeated strong performances, including a 74% victory margin in 2024, combined with the district's consistent Republican lean in southern Illinois. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus at 98.7% for Bost. Bost maintains a wide fundraising edge and faced no primary opposition, while Democratic challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran, operates with far fewer resources. Late shifts remain possible through national political swings, turnout surges in specific counties, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election, though structural and financial factors currently limit realistic paths for the underdog.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Câmara IL-12
Vencedor da eleição da Câmara IL-12
$25,195 Vol.
$25,195 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Bost (R)
99%
Julie Fortier (D)
3%
$25,195 Vol.
$25,195 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Bost (R)
$14,063 Vol.
99%
Julie Fortier (D)
$11,132 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race reflects his repeated strong performances, including a 74% victory margin in 2024, combined with the district's consistent Republican lean in southern Illinois. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus at 98.7% for Bost. Bost maintains a wide fundraising edge and faced no primary opposition, while Democratic challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran, operates with far fewer resources. Late shifts remain possible through national political swings, turnout surges in specific counties, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election, though structural and financial factors currently limit realistic paths for the underdog.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$25,195Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race reflects his repeated strong performances, including a 74% victory margin in 2024, combined with the district's consistent Republican lean in southern Illinois. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus at 98.7% for Bost. Bost maintains a wide fundraising edge and faced no primary opposition, while Democratic challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran, operates with far fewer resources. Late shifts remain possible through national political swings, turnout surges in specific counties, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election, though structural and financial factors currently limit realistic paths for the underdog.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,195Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race reflects his repeated strong performances, including a 74% victory margin in 2024, combined with the district's consistent Republican lean in southern Illinois. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus at 98.7% for Bost. Bost maintains a wide fundraising edge and faced no primary opposition, while Democratic challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran, operates with far fewer resources. Late shifts remain possible through national political swings, turnout surges in specific counties, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election, though structural and financial factors currently limit realistic paths for the underdog.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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