**The ongoing legal dispute over Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook’s removal centers on the Federal Reserve Act’s “for cause” standard, which the Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 decision interpreted as requiring notice and an opportunity to respond before any presidential action.** Trump’s August 2026 renewed effort—sending formal notice citing pre-appointment mortgage allegations and setting an August 26 response deadline—has triggered further litigation, with Cook’s counsel rejecting the claims as unfounded and politically motivated. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline of lower-court proceedings and potential additional appeals, which reinforce the central bank’s historical insulation from direct executive control and limit near-term removal odds. Key upcoming catalysts include the pace of district-court review, any new procedural steps by the administration, and broader monetary-policy signals from upcoming FOMC meetings that could influence sentiment around Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect the high bar for “for cause” removal and the precedent protecting staggered 14-year terms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
3%
31 de outubro
4%
30 de novembro
7%
31 de dezembro
6%
$7,586 Vol.
30 de setembro
$2,416 Vol.
3%
31 de outubro
$2,626 Vol.
4%
30 de novembro
$1,041 Vol.
7%
31 de dezembro
$1,504 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**The ongoing legal dispute over Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook’s removal centers on the Federal Reserve Act’s “for cause” standard, which the Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 decision interpreted as requiring notice and an opportunity to respond before any presidential action.** Trump’s August 2026 renewed effort—sending formal notice citing pre-appointment mortgage allegations and setting an August 26 response deadline—has triggered further litigation, with Cook’s counsel rejecting the claims as unfounded and politically motivated. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline of lower-court proceedings and potential additional appeals, which reinforce the central bank’s historical insulation from direct executive control and limit near-term removal odds. Key upcoming catalysts include the pace of district-court review, any new procedural steps by the administration, and broader monetary-policy signals from upcoming FOMC meetings that could influence sentiment around Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect the high bar for “for cause” removal and the precedent protecting staggered 14-year terms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$7,586Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**The ongoing legal dispute over Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook’s removal centers on the Federal Reserve Act’s “for cause” standard, which the Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 decision interpreted as requiring notice and an opportunity to respond before any presidential action.** Trump’s August 2026 renewed effort—sending formal notice citing pre-appointment mortgage allegations and setting an August 26 response deadline—has triggered further litigation, with Cook’s counsel rejecting the claims as unfounded and politically motivated. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline of lower-court proceedings and potential additional appeals, which reinforce the central bank’s historical insulation from direct executive control and limit near-term removal odds. Key upcoming catalysts include the pace of district-court review, any new procedural steps by the administration, and broader monetary-policy signals from upcoming FOMC meetings that could influence sentiment around Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect the high bar for “for cause” removal and the precedent protecting staggered 14-year terms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$7,586Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The ongoing legal dispute over Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook’s removal centers on the Federal Reserve Act’s “for cause” standard, which the Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 decision interpreted as requiring notice and an opportunity to respond before any presidential action.** Trump’s August 2026 renewed effort—sending formal notice citing pre-appointment mortgage allegations and setting an August 26 response deadline—has triggered further litigation, with Cook’s counsel rejecting the claims as unfounded and politically motivated. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline of lower-court proceedings and potential additional appeals, which reinforce the central bank’s historical insulation from direct executive control and limit near-term removal odds. Key upcoming catalysts include the pace of district-court review, any new procedural steps by the administration, and broader monetary-policy signals from upcoming FOMC meetings that could influence sentiment around Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect the high bar for “for cause” removal and the precedent protecting staggered 14-year terms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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