Recent national polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena maintaining a wide lead near 35–42 percent, with the PAN consistently placing second among opposition parties at 11–18 percent. The PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano (MC) trail in the single digits or low teens in most surveys, while PVEM and PT remain lower. Traders price the PAN heavily for second place because it has contested the election independently after ending its prior alliance with the PRI, preserving its national structure and centrist-right positioning without coalition dilution. The PRI’s weaker individual numbers and ongoing organizational challenges have reduced its prospects relative to the PAN. MC shows regional strength in some states but has not overtaken the PAN in aggregated national preference. No major late-summer developments have altered these relative standings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 77%
PRI 15.9%
PVEM 6%
Morena 1.4%
$84,229 Vol.
$84,229 Vol.
5 jun 2027
PAN
77%
PRI
16%
PT
<1%
PVEM
6%
MC
1%
Morena
1%
PAN 77%
PRI 15.9%
PVEM 6%
Morena 1.4%
$84,229 Vol.
$84,229 Vol.
5 jun 2027
PAN
$38,460 Vol.
77%
PRI
$14,581 Vol.
16%
PT
$8,011 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$12,988 Vol.
6%
MC
$4,808 Vol.
1%
Morena
$5,382 Vol.
1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Recent national polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena maintaining a wide lead near 35–42 percent, with the PAN consistently placing second among opposition parties at 11–18 percent. The PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano (MC) trail in the single digits or low teens in most surveys, while PVEM and PT remain lower. Traders price the PAN heavily for second place because it has contested the election independently after ending its prior alliance with the PRI, preserving its national structure and centrist-right positioning without coalition dilution. The PRI’s weaker individual numbers and ongoing organizational challenges have reduced its prospects relative to the PAN. MC shows regional strength in some states but has not overtaken the PAN in aggregated national preference. No major late-summer developments have altered these relative standings.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$84,229Data de Término
6 jun 2027Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Recent national polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena maintaining a wide lead near 35–42 percent, with the PAN consistently placing second among opposition parties at 11–18 percent. The PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano (MC) trail in the single digits or low teens in most surveys, while PVEM and PT remain lower. Traders price the PAN heavily for second place because it has contested the election independently after ending its prior alliance with the PRI, preserving its national structure and centrist-right positioning without coalition dilution. The PRI’s weaker individual numbers and ongoing organizational challenges have reduced its prospects relative to the PAN. MC shows regional strength in some states but has not overtaken the PAN in aggregated national preference. No major late-summer developments have altered these relative standings.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$84,229Data de Término
6 jun 2027Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena maintaining a wide lead near 35–42 percent, with the PAN consistently placing second among opposition parties at 11–18 percent. The PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano (MC) trail in the single digits or low teens in most surveys, while PVEM and PT remain lower. Traders price the PAN heavily for second place because it has contested the election independently after ending its prior alliance with the PRI, preserving its national structure and centrist-right positioning without coalition dilution. The PRI’s weaker individual numbers and ongoing organizational challenges have reduced its prospects relative to the PAN. MC shows regional strength in some states but has not overtaken the PAN in aggregated national preference. No major late-summer developments have altered these relative standings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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