John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, demonstrated by the incumbent’s 65% victory in 2024 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus. Moolenaar faced no primary opposition and has raised over $1.65 million, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, who prevailed in an August primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such outcomes improbable based on current evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MI-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa MI-02
$53,943 Vol.
$53,943 Vol.
3 nov 2026
John Moolenaar (R)
98%
Ben Ambrose (D)
1%
$53,943 Vol.
$53,943 Vol.
3 nov 2026
John Moolenaar (R)
$22,752 Vol.
98%
Ben Ambrose (D)
$31,190 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, demonstrated by the incumbent’s 65% victory in 2024 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus. Moolenaar faced no primary opposition and has raised over $1.65 million, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, who prevailed in an August primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such outcomes improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$53,943Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, demonstrated by the incumbent’s 65% victory in 2024 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus. Moolenaar faced no primary opposition and has raised over $1.65 million, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, who prevailed in an August primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such outcomes improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,943Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, demonstrated by the incumbent’s 65% victory in 2024 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus. Moolenaar faced no primary opposition and has raised over $1.65 million, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, who prevailed in an August primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such outcomes improbable based on current evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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