Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 75% of the vote, facing Democrat Callie Barr who won her primary. Forecasters rate the northern Michigan district, which includes the Upper Peninsula, as Solid or Safe Republican due to its partisan voter index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Bergman's long tenure since 2017 and the absence of major competitive threats or polling shifts have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa MI-01
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa MI-01
$21,552 Vol.
$21,552 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jack Bergman (R)
93%
Callie Barr (D)
8%
$21,552 Vol.
$21,552 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jack Bergman (R)
$11,419 Vol.
93%
Callie Barr (D)
$10,133 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 75% of the vote, facing Democrat Callie Barr who won her primary. Forecasters rate the northern Michigan district, which includes the Upper Peninsula, as Solid or Safe Republican due to its partisan voter index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Bergman's long tenure since 2017 and the absence of major competitive threats or polling shifts have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$21,552Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 75% of the vote, facing Democrat Callie Barr who won her primary. Forecasters rate the northern Michigan district, which includes the Upper Peninsula, as Solid or Safe Republican due to its partisan voter index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Bergman's long tenure since 2017 and the absence of major competitive threats or polling shifts have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,552Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 75% of the vote, facing Democrat Callie Barr who won her primary. Forecasters rate the northern Michigan district, which includes the Upper Peninsula, as Solid or Safe Republican due to its partisan voter index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Bergman's long tenure since 2017 and the absence of major competitive threats or polling shifts have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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