Bennie Thompson’s commanding position in the MS-02 House race stems from his long incumbency, the district’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index, and consistent double-digit general election margins in prior cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Thompson secured his party’s nomination easily in the March primary, while Republican Ron Eller advanced after a close primary contest but faces the same structural disadvantages that limited prior GOP challenges. An independent candidate, Bennie Foster, is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or abrupt national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s composition make such reversals uncommon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MS-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa MS-02
$38,889 Vol.
$38,889 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bennie Thompson (D)
94%
Ron Eller (R)
7%
$38,889 Vol.
$38,889 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bennie Thompson (D)
$22,632 Vol.
94%
Ron Eller (R)
$16,257 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson’s commanding position in the MS-02 House race stems from his long incumbency, the district’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index, and consistent double-digit general election margins in prior cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Thompson secured his party’s nomination easily in the March primary, while Republican Ron Eller advanced after a close primary contest but faces the same structural disadvantages that limited prior GOP challenges. An independent candidate, Bennie Foster, is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or abrupt national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s composition make such reversals uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$38,889Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson’s commanding position in the MS-02 House race stems from his long incumbency, the district’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index, and consistent double-digit general election margins in prior cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Thompson secured his party’s nomination easily in the March primary, while Republican Ron Eller advanced after a close primary contest but faces the same structural disadvantages that limited prior GOP challenges. An independent candidate, Bennie Foster, is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or abrupt national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s composition make such reversals uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,889Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson’s commanding position in the MS-02 House race stems from his long incumbency, the district’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index, and consistent double-digit general election margins in prior cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Thompson secured his party’s nomination easily in the March primary, while Republican Ron Eller advanced after a close primary contest but faces the same structural disadvantages that limited prior GOP challenges. An independent candidate, Bennie Foster, is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or abrupt national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s composition make such reversals uncommon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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