Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position in Oregon's 1st congressional district due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by roughly 20 points and consistent large margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from her primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's urban and suburban voter base. A late national political shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$27,452 Vol.
$27,452 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Suzanne Bonamici (D)
96%
Barbara Kahl (R)
3%
$27,452 Vol.
$27,452 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Suzanne Bonamici (D)
$10,566 Vol.
96%
Barbara Kahl (R)
$16,887 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position in Oregon's 1st congressional district due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by roughly 20 points and consistent large margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from her primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's urban and suburban voter base. A late national political shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,452Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position in Oregon's 1st congressional district due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by roughly 20 points and consistent large margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from her primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's urban and suburban voter base. A late national political shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,452Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position in Oregon's 1st congressional district due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by roughly 20 points and consistent large margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from her primary but trails significantly in fundraising and faces nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's urban and suburban voter base. A late national political shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event could narrow the margin, though no such developments have emerged.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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