Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead in popular vote and seat projections for the October 5 election, leaving the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight contest for second place. Late-campaign surveys indicate the PLQ edging ahead in some aggregates as the CAQ loses slight momentum among francophone voters, though seat projections remain sensitive to closely contested ridings and regional swings. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this narrow gap, with volatility tied to ongoing debates, turnout patterns in key districts, and any last-minute shifts in support for smaller parties such as the Parti conservateur du Québec. Historical patterns of late movement in Quebec campaigns and the first-past-the-post system underscore how modest changes in a handful of ridings could alter the final ranking.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPLQ 54%
CAQ 43%
PQ 14.2%
QS <1%
$26,104 Vol.
$26,104 Vol.
4 out 2026
PLQ
54%
CAQ
43%
PQ
10%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 54%
CAQ 43%
PQ 14.2%
QS <1%
$26,104 Vol.
$26,104 Vol.
4 out 2026
PLQ
$7,123 Vol.
54%
CAQ
$8,647 Vol.
43%
PQ
$6,190 Vol.
10%
QS
$1,717 Vol.
<1%
PCQ
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead in popular vote and seat projections for the October 5 election, leaving the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight contest for second place. Late-campaign surveys indicate the PLQ edging ahead in some aggregates as the CAQ loses slight momentum among francophone voters, though seat projections remain sensitive to closely contested ridings and regional swings. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this narrow gap, with volatility tied to ongoing debates, turnout patterns in key districts, and any last-minute shifts in support for smaller parties such as the Parti conservateur du Québec. Historical patterns of late movement in Quebec campaigns and the first-past-the-post system underscore how modest changes in a handful of ridings could alter the final ranking.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$26,104Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead in popular vote and seat projections for the October 5 election, leaving the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight contest for second place. Late-campaign surveys indicate the PLQ edging ahead in some aggregates as the CAQ loses slight momentum among francophone voters, though seat projections remain sensitive to closely contested ridings and regional swings. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this narrow gap, with volatility tied to ongoing debates, turnout patterns in key districts, and any last-minute shifts in support for smaller parties such as the Parti conservateur du Québec. Historical patterns of late movement in Quebec campaigns and the first-past-the-post system underscore how modest changes in a handful of ridings could alter the final ranking.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$26,104Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead in popular vote and seat projections for the October 5 election, leaving the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec in a tight contest for second place. Late-campaign surveys indicate the PLQ edging ahead in some aggregates as the CAQ loses slight momentum among francophone voters, though seat projections remain sensitive to closely contested ridings and regional swings. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this narrow gap, with volatility tied to ongoing debates, turnout patterns in key districts, and any last-minute shifts in support for smaller parties such as the Parti conservateur du Québec. Historical patterns of late movement in Quebec campaigns and the first-past-the-post system underscore how modest changes in a handful of ridings could alter the final ranking.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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