Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 29 percent, while the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti libéral du Québec remain closely matched in the low-to-mid 20s, leaving the battle for third place highly sensitive to small shifts. The CAQ has lost recent momentum amid voter fatigue and campaign dynamics, allowing the PLQ a modest rebound, yet both parties trail the PQ and sit well ahead of the rising Parti conservateur du Québec. Ongoing debates and regional variations in support continue to influence seat projections, with traders viewing either the CAQ or PLQ as the likeliest third-place finisher. Further movement in voter preferences before the October 5 vote could clarify the order among these contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCAQ 51%
PLQ 40%
PQ 6.3%
PCQ 4.0%
$14,315 Vol.
$14,315 Vol.
4 out 2026
CAQ
47%
PLQ
40%
PQ
6%
PCQ
4%
QS
2%
PVQ
<1%
CAQ 51%
PLQ 40%
PQ 6.3%
PCQ 4.0%
$14,315 Vol.
$14,315 Vol.
4 out 2026
CAQ
$4,957 Vol.
47%
PLQ
$3,915 Vol.
40%
PQ
$1,373 Vol.
6%
PCQ
$2,290 Vol.
4%
QS
$1,148 Vol.
2%
PVQ
$632 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 29 percent, while the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti libéral du Québec remain closely matched in the low-to-mid 20s, leaving the battle for third place highly sensitive to small shifts. The CAQ has lost recent momentum amid voter fatigue and campaign dynamics, allowing the PLQ a modest rebound, yet both parties trail the PQ and sit well ahead of the rising Parti conservateur du Québec. Ongoing debates and regional variations in support continue to influence seat projections, with traders viewing either the CAQ or PLQ as the likeliest third-place finisher. Further movement in voter preferences before the October 5 vote could clarify the order among these contenders.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,315Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 29 percent, while the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti libéral du Québec remain closely matched in the low-to-mid 20s, leaving the battle for third place highly sensitive to small shifts. The CAQ has lost recent momentum amid voter fatigue and campaign dynamics, allowing the PLQ a modest rebound, yet both parties trail the PQ and sit well ahead of the rising Parti conservateur du Québec. Ongoing debates and regional variations in support continue to influence seat projections, with traders viewing either the CAQ or PLQ as the likeliest third-place finisher. Further movement in voter preferences before the October 5 vote could clarify the order among these contenders.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$14,315Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 29 percent, while the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti libéral du Québec remain closely matched in the low-to-mid 20s, leaving the battle for third place highly sensitive to small shifts. The CAQ has lost recent momentum amid voter fatigue and campaign dynamics, allowing the PLQ a modest rebound, yet both parties trail the PQ and sit well ahead of the rising Parti conservateur du Québec. Ongoing debates and regional variations in support continue to influence seat projections, with traders viewing either the CAQ or PLQ as the likeliest third-place finisher. Further movement in voter preferences before the October 5 vote could clarify the order among these contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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