Recent polling averages and forecasts for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district show Democrat Rebecca Cooke holding a narrow edge or statistical tie against Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden, with several surveys from mid-2026 placing her ahead by 2–4 points among likely voters. The district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin and Van Orden’s underwater favorability ratings have kept the contest rated as a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple analysts. Traders appear to weigh Cooke’s primary victory and consistent polling performance against Van Orden’s reelection bid, while noting ongoing campaign friction over debate formats and isolated legal clearance for Cooke on electioneering claims. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major late-breaking shifts reported in the past month.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
29%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
$4,465 Vol.
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
$2,073 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling averages and forecasts for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district show Democrat Rebecca Cooke holding a narrow edge or statistical tie against Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden, with several surveys from mid-2026 placing her ahead by 2–4 points among likely voters. The district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin and Van Orden’s underwater favorability ratings have kept the contest rated as a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple analysts. Traders appear to weigh Cooke’s primary victory and consistent polling performance against Van Orden’s reelection bid, while noting ongoing campaign friction over debate formats and isolated legal clearance for Cooke on electioneering claims. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major late-breaking shifts reported in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$6,538Data de Término
5 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling averages and forecasts for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district show Democrat Rebecca Cooke holding a narrow edge or statistical tie against Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden, with several surveys from mid-2026 placing her ahead by 2–4 points among likely voters. The district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin and Van Orden’s underwater favorability ratings have kept the contest rated as a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple analysts. Traders appear to weigh Cooke’s primary victory and consistent polling performance against Van Orden’s reelection bid, while noting ongoing campaign friction over debate formats and isolated legal clearance for Cooke on electioneering claims. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major late-breaking shifts reported in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,538Data de Término
5 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages and forecasts for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district show Democrat Rebecca Cooke holding a narrow edge or statistical tie against Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden, with several surveys from mid-2026 placing her ahead by 2–4 points among likely voters. The district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin and Van Orden’s underwater favorability ratings have kept the contest rated as a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple analysts. Traders appear to weigh Cooke’s primary victory and consistent polling performance against Van Orden’s reelection bid, while noting ongoing campaign friction over debate formats and isolated legal clearance for Cooke on electioneering claims. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major late-breaking shifts reported in the past month.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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