Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election due to the district's strong Democratic tilt after recent redistricting, which created an open seat previously held by a Democrat. Solis advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with nearly 48% of the vote against Republican Pedro Casas and two other Democrats, drawing on her extensive record as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and Los Angeles County supervisor. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the area's voter registration and historical performance. Casas, a psychologist and retired Army officer, advanced as the sole Republican but faces limited resources and structural disadvantages in the general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence the November outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$63,872 Объем
$63,872 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Хильда Солис (Д)
95%
Педро Касас (Р)
1%
$63,872 Объем
$63,872 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Хильда Солис (Д)
$32,210 Объем
95%
Педро Касас (Р)
$31,662 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election due to the district's strong Democratic tilt after recent redistricting, which created an open seat previously held by a Democrat. Solis advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with nearly 48% of the vote against Republican Pedro Casas and two other Democrats, drawing on her extensive record as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and Los Angeles County supervisor. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the area's voter registration and historical performance. Casas, a psychologist and retired Army officer, advanced as the sole Republican but faces limited resources and structural disadvantages in the general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$63,872Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election due to the district's strong Democratic tilt after recent redistricting, which created an open seat previously held by a Democrat. Solis advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with nearly 48% of the vote against Republican Pedro Casas and two other Democrats, drawing on her extensive record as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and Los Angeles County supervisor. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the area's voter registration and historical performance. Casas, a psychologist and retired Army officer, advanced as the sole Republican but faces limited resources and structural disadvantages in the general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$63,872Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election due to the district's strong Democratic tilt after recent redistricting, which created an open seat previously held by a Democrat. Solis advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with nearly 48% of the vote against Republican Pedro Casas and two other Democrats, drawing on her extensive record as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and Los Angeles County supervisor. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the area's voter registration and historical performance. Casas, a psychologist and retired Army officer, advanced as the sole Republican but faces limited resources and structural disadvantages in the general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence the November outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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