Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean and his established record since 2017. Correa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52 percent of the vote against Republican David Pan's 33 percent, with multiple Democratic challengers splitting the remainder. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's partisan composition and Correa's fundraising advantage. Pan, a UC Irvine professor, faces structural barriers including limited campaign resources and the absence of competitive polling shifts in recent months. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could alter the trajectory, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-46 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,224 Объем
$24,224 Объем
Лу Корреа (Д)
95%
Дэвид Пэн (Р)
6%
$24,224 Объем
$24,224 Объем
Лу Корреа (Д)
95%
Дэвид Пэн (Р)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean and his established record since 2017. Correa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52 percent of the vote against Republican David Pan's 33 percent, with multiple Democratic challengers splitting the remainder. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's partisan composition and Correa's fundraising advantage. Pan, a UC Irvine professor, faces structural barriers including limited campaign resources and the absence of competitive polling shifts in recent months. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could alter the trajectory, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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