Cid Gomes leads the Ceará Senate race as the incumbent PSB candidate with consistent polling advantages of 23-27% in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios through early September 2026, well ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in the low-to-mid 20s. His position strengthened after the PSB formally ratified his reelection bid in August alongside the state government's base, despite the high-profile split with his brother Ciro Gomes, who is running for governor in opposition. Multiple recent surveys, including Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show stable frontrunner status for Cid in a contest for two seats on October 4, with other declared candidates trailing significantly and large shares of undecided voters. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСид Гомес 77%
Капитан Вагнер 8%
Луизианна 3.2%
Гильерме Теофило <1%
$26,072 Объем
$26,072 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Сид Гомес
77%
Капитан Вагнер
8%
Луизианна
3%
Гильерме Теофило
<1%
Алсидес Фернандес
<1%
Катарина Матос
<1%
Лино Алвес
<1%
Реджиналду
<1%
Сид Гомес 77%
Капитан Вагнер 8%
Луизианна 3.2%
Гильерме Теофило <1%
$26,072 Объем
$26,072 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Сид Гомес
$18,260 Объем
77%
Капитан Вагнер
$2,767 Объем
8%
Луизианна
$1,258 Объем
3%
Гильерме Теофило
$660 Объем
<1%
Алсидес Фернандес
$867 Объем
<1%
Катарина Матос
$650 Объем
<1%
Лино Алвес
$840 Объем
<1%
Реджиналду
$769 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes leads the Ceará Senate race as the incumbent PSB candidate with consistent polling advantages of 23-27% in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios through early September 2026, well ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in the low-to-mid 20s. His position strengthened after the PSB formally ratified his reelection bid in August alongside the state government's base, despite the high-profile split with his brother Ciro Gomes, who is running for governor in opposition. Multiple recent surveys, including Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show stable frontrunner status for Cid in a contest for two seats on October 4, with other declared candidates trailing significantly and large shares of undecided voters. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling patterns.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Объем
$26,072Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes leads the Ceará Senate race as the incumbent PSB candidate with consistent polling advantages of 23-27% in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios through early September 2026, well ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in the low-to-mid 20s. His position strengthened after the PSB formally ratified his reelection bid in August alongside the state government's base, despite the high-profile split with his brother Ciro Gomes, who is running for governor in opposition. Multiple recent surveys, including Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show stable frontrunner status for Cid in a contest for two seats on October 4, with other declared candidates trailing significantly and large shares of undecided voters. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling patterns.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$26,072Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes leads the Ceará Senate race as the incumbent PSB candidate with consistent polling advantages of 23-27% in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios through early September 2026, well ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in the low-to-mid 20s. His position strengthened after the PSB formally ratified his reelection bid in August alongside the state government's base, despite the high-profile split with his brother Ciro Gomes, who is running for governor in opposition. Multiple recent surveys, including Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show stable frontrunner status for Cid in a contest for two seats on October 4, with other declared candidates trailing significantly and large shares of undecided voters. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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