Recent polling from Datafolha, Real Time, and Paraná Pesquisas shows Cid Gomes leading overall while Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins remain locked in a tight contest for second place, with margins inside the error range across multiple September surveys. The dual-vote system for Ceará’s two Senate seats, combined with high undecided shares and cross-ticket alliances—Wagner aligned with Ciro Gomes and Luizianne with the PT-backed slate—keeps probabilities fluid. Alcides Fernandes trails further back, and lower-polling names face structural barriers. Late campaign events or turnout shifts among key blocs could still reorder the second spot before the October 4 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКапитан Вагнер 37%
Луизианн 32%
Сид Гомес 27%
Алсидес Фернандес 5.7%
$36,707 Объем
$36,707 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Капитан Вагнер
37%
Луизианн
32%
Сид Гомес
27%
Алсидес Фернандес
6%
Гильерме Теофило
1%
Катарина Матос
<1%
Лино Алвис
<1%
Режиналдо
<1%
Капитан Вагнер 37%
Луизианн 32%
Сид Гомес 27%
Алсидес Фернандес 5.7%
$36,707 Объем
$36,707 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Капитан Вагнер
$14,404 Объем
37%
Луизианн
$11,700 Объем
32%
Сид Гомес
$4,918 Объем
27%
Алсидес Фернандес
$1,122 Объем
6%
Гильерме Теофило
$833 Объем
1%
Катарина Матос
$1,541 Объем
<1%
Лино Алвис
$942 Объем
<1%
Режиналдо
$1,247 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Real Time, and Paraná Pesquisas shows Cid Gomes leading overall while Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins remain locked in a tight contest for second place, with margins inside the error range across multiple September surveys. The dual-vote system for Ceará’s two Senate seats, combined with high undecided shares and cross-ticket alliances—Wagner aligned with Ciro Gomes and Luizianne with the PT-backed slate—keeps probabilities fluid. Alcides Fernandes trails further back, and lower-polling names face structural barriers. Late campaign events or turnout shifts among key blocs could still reorder the second spot before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Объем
$36,707Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Real Time, and Paraná Pesquisas shows Cid Gomes leading overall while Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins remain locked in a tight contest for second place, with margins inside the error range across multiple September surveys. The dual-vote system for Ceará’s two Senate seats, combined with high undecided shares and cross-ticket alliances—Wagner aligned with Ciro Gomes and Luizianne with the PT-backed slate—keeps probabilities fluid. Alcides Fernandes trails further back, and lower-polling names face structural barriers. Late campaign events or turnout shifts among key blocs could still reorder the second spot before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$36,707Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha, Real Time, and Paraná Pesquisas shows Cid Gomes leading overall while Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins remain locked in a tight contest for second place, with margins inside the error range across multiple September surveys. The dual-vote system for Ceará’s two Senate seats, combined with high undecided shares and cross-ticket alliances—Wagner aligned with Ciro Gomes and Luizianne with the PT-backed slate—keeps probabilities fluid. Alcides Fernandes trails further back, and lower-polling names face structural barriers. Late campaign events or turnout shifts among key blocs could still reorder the second spot before the October 4 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграет ли Сид Гомес наибольшее количество голосов на выборах в Сенат Сеары в 2026 году?
73%
Да
Одержит ли Андре ду Прадо второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Сан-Паулу 2026 года?
35%
Да
Получит ли Умберто Коста второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в сенат Пернамбуку в 2026 году?
46%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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