Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats, while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain tightly grouped for the second position, with combined shares often within the margin of error and undecided or blank responses exceeding 20 percent. Alliances tied to the João Campos gubernatorial ticket bolster the PT-PDT pairing, whereas opposition groupings around Governor Raquel Lyra support competing names. The two-vote system and late-campaign dynamics, including any shifts among swing voters or turnout in key regions, sustain the narrow probabilities reflected in current trader consensus for second place. A final-week surge in name recognition or coalition signals could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУмберто Коста 41%
Мендонса Фильо 36%
Марилия Аррайс 25.0%
Эдуардо да Фонте 4.3%
$33,631 Объем
$33,631 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Умберто Коста
48%
Мендонса Фильо
36%
Марилия Аррайс
21%
Эдуардо да Фонте
4%
Тулиу Гаделья
7%
Мариано Маседо
<1%
Самуэль Тимотео
<1%
Пастор Жилван Коста
<1%
Карлос Сант'Анна
<1%
Горетт Биту
<1%
Майлсон да Силва Нето
<1%
Пауло Рубен Сантьяго
<1%
Умберто Коста 41%
Мендонса Фильо 36%
Марилия Аррайс 25.0%
Эдуардо да Фонте 4.3%
$33,631 Объем
$33,631 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Умберто Коста
$10,767 Объем
48%
Мендонса Фильо
$9,236 Объем
36%
Марилия Аррайс
$5,900 Объем
21%
Эдуардо да Фонте
$1,702 Объем
4%
Тулиу Гаделья
$1,458 Объем
7%
Мариано Маседо
$806 Объем
<1%
Самуэль Тимотео
$834 Объем
<1%
Пастор Жилван Коста
$884 Объем
<1%
Карлос Сант'Анна
$494 Объем
<1%
Горетт Биту
$629 Объем
<1%
Майлсон да Силва Нето
$433 Объем
<1%
Пауло Рубен Сантьяго
$490 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats, while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain tightly grouped for the second position, with combined shares often within the margin of error and undecided or blank responses exceeding 20 percent. Alliances tied to the João Campos gubernatorial ticket bolster the PT-PDT pairing, whereas opposition groupings around Governor Raquel Lyra support competing names. The two-vote system and late-campaign dynamics, including any shifts among swing voters or turnout in key regions, sustain the narrow probabilities reflected in current trader consensus for second place. A final-week surge in name recognition or coalition signals could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Объем
$33,631Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats, while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain tightly grouped for the second position, with combined shares often within the margin of error and undecided or blank responses exceeding 20 percent. Alliances tied to the João Campos gubernatorial ticket bolster the PT-PDT pairing, whereas opposition groupings around Governor Raquel Lyra support competing names. The two-vote system and late-campaign dynamics, including any shifts among swing voters or turnout in key regions, sustain the narrow probabilities reflected in current trader consensus for second place. A final-week surge in name recognition or coalition signals could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$33,631Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading overall intentions for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats, while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain tightly grouped for the second position, with combined shares often within the margin of error and undecided or blank responses exceeding 20 percent. Alliances tied to the João Campos gubernatorial ticket bolster the PT-PDT pairing, whereas opposition groupings around Governor Raquel Lyra support competing names. The two-vote system and late-campaign dynamics, including any shifts among swing voters or turnout in key regions, sustain the narrow probabilities reflected in current trader consensus for second place. A final-week surge in name recognition or coalition signals could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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