Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in the FL-18 race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Franklin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $850,000, contrasts sharply with challenger Curtis Gibson's minimal resources, while both candidates advanced unopposed after canceled primaries. The seat's history of Republican margins above 30 points further supports trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, unusually high third-party support for Deva Simmons, or national political realignments that alter turnout dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-18
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-18
$37,179 Объем
$37,179 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Скотт Франклин (Р)
92%
Кертис Гибсон (Д)
9%
$37,179 Объем
$37,179 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Скотт Франклин (Р)
$23,423 Объем
92%
Кертис Гибсон (Д)
$13,757 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in the FL-18 race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Franklin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $850,000, contrasts sharply with challenger Curtis Gibson's minimal resources, while both candidates advanced unopposed after canceled primaries. The seat's history of Republican margins above 30 points further supports trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, unusually high third-party support for Deva Simmons, or national political realignments that alter turnout dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Объем
$37,179Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in the FL-18 race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Franklin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $850,000, contrasts sharply with challenger Curtis Gibson's minimal resources, while both candidates advanced unopposed after canceled primaries. The seat's history of Republican margins above 30 points further supports trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, unusually high third-party support for Deva Simmons, or national political realignments that alter turnout dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$37,179Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in the FL-18 race due to the district's strong Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Franklin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $850,000, contrasts sharply with challenger Curtis Gibson's minimal resources, while both candidates advanced unopposed after canceled primaries. The seat's history of Republican margins above 30 points further supports trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, unusually high third-party support for Deva Simmons, or national political realignments that alter turnout dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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