**Latest forecasts position 12–14°C as the dominant range for Wellington’s September 1 maximum.** Official guidance from MetService and global models shows northwesterly flow advecting milder air across the region under mostly sunny conditions, with daytime highs expected near 12–13°C and only modest warming potential before strong winds and radiative cooling limit further rises. This consensus, combined with typical early-spring climatology (historical September maxima averaging ~13–15°C), drives the heavy weighting toward 14°C (62.5% implied probability) while keeping 13°C and 15°C as meaningful alternatives. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 сентября?
14°C 63%
13°C 21%
15°C 16%
16°C 3.2%
НОВОЕ
$22,750 Объем
НОВОЕ
$22,750 Объем
1 сент. 2026 г.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
21%
14°C
63%
15°C
16%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 63%
13°C 21%
15°C 16%
16°C 3.2%
НОВОЕ
$22,750 Объем
НОВОЕ
$22,750 Объем
1 сент. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$267 Объем
<1%
9°C
$330 Объем
<1%
10°C
$371 Объем
<1%
11°C
$1,341 Объем
<1%
12°C
$2,246 Объем
2%
13°C
$4,669 Объем
21%
14°C
$4,746 Объем
63%
15°C
$3,039 Объем
16%
16°C
$1,900 Объем
3%
17°C
$1,651 Объем
<1%
18°C or higher
$2,190 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts position 12–14°C as the dominant range for Wellington’s September 1 maximum.** Official guidance from MetService and global models shows northwesterly flow advecting milder air across the region under mostly sunny conditions, with daytime highs expected near 12–13°C and only modest warming potential before strong winds and radiative cooling limit further rises. This consensus, combined with typical early-spring climatology (historical September maxima averaging ~13–15°C), drives the heavy weighting toward 14°C (62.5% implied probability) while keeping 13°C and 15°C as meaningful alternatives. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$22,750Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts position 12–14°C as the dominant range for Wellington’s September 1 maximum.** Official guidance from MetService and global models shows northwesterly flow advecting milder air across the region under mostly sunny conditions, with daytime highs expected near 12–13°C and only modest warming potential before strong winds and radiative cooling limit further rises. This consensus, combined with typical early-spring climatology (historical September maxima averaging ~13–15°C), drives the heavy weighting toward 14°C (62.5% implied probability) while keeping 13°C and 15°C as meaningful alternatives. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$22,750Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecasts position 12–14°C as the dominant range for Wellington’s September 1 maximum.** Official guidance from MetService and global models shows northwesterly flow advecting milder air across the region under mostly sunny conditions, with daytime highs expected near 12–13°C and only modest warming potential before strong winds and radiative cooling limit further rises. This consensus, combined with typical early-spring climatology (historical September maxima averaging ~13–15°C), drives the heavy weighting toward 14°C (62.5% implied probability) while keeping 13°C and 15°C as meaningful alternatives. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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