Russ Fulcher’s commanding position in the Idaho 1st congressional district race reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+22. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination with 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has posted double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits, though with sizable undecided shares. Kaylee Peterson, the Democratic nominee, has raised limited funds relative to Fulcher and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in statewide races. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the district’s electoral history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоID-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
ID-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$48,209 Объем
$48,209 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Росс Фалчер (Р)
95%
Кайли Питерсон (Д)
4%
$48,209 Объем
$48,209 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Росс Фалчер (Р)
$32,566 Объем
95%
Кайли Питерсон (Д)
$15,643 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Russ Fulcher’s commanding position in the Idaho 1st congressional district race reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+22. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination with 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has posted double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits, though with sizable undecided shares. Kaylee Peterson, the Democratic nominee, has raised limited funds relative to Fulcher and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in statewide races. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the district’s electoral history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$48,209Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Russ Fulcher’s commanding position in the Idaho 1st congressional district race reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+22. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination with 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has posted double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits, though with sizable undecided shares. Kaylee Peterson, the Democratic nominee, has raised limited funds relative to Fulcher and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in statewide races. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the district’s electoral history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$48,209Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Russ Fulcher’s commanding position in the Idaho 1st congressional district race reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt, rated Solid Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+22. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination with 78 percent in the May 2026 primary and has posted double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles, including 71 percent in 2024. Recent polling shows Fulcher ahead by double digits, though with sizable undecided shares. Kaylee Peterson, the Democratic nominee, has raised limited funds relative to Fulcher and faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in statewide races. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with the district’s electoral history. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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