Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his multiple reelection victories including 74 percent in 2024, and endorsements from party leaders. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed in the March primary but trails significantly in fundraising, with under $50,000 raised compared to Bost's over $1 million. The November 3 general election outcome aligns with the district's voting patterns and Bost's institutional advantages as chair of the House Veterans' Affairs Committee. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event remain the primary variables that could shift the narrow Democratic path, though none have emerged.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-12
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-12
$25,195 Объем
$25,195 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Бост (Р)
97%
Жюли Фортье (Д)
3%
$25,195 Объем
$25,195 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Бост (Р)
$14,063 Объем
97%
Жюли Фортье (Д)
$11,132 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his multiple reelection victories including 74 percent in 2024, and endorsements from party leaders. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed in the March primary but trails significantly in fundraising, with under $50,000 raised compared to Bost's over $1 million. The November 3 general election outcome aligns with the district's voting patterns and Bost's institutional advantages as chair of the House Veterans' Affairs Committee. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event remain the primary variables that could shift the narrow Democratic path, though none have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$25,195Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his multiple reelection victories including 74 percent in 2024, and endorsements from party leaders. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed in the March primary but trails significantly in fundraising, with under $50,000 raised compared to Bost's over $1 million. The November 3 general election outcome aligns with the district's voting patterns and Bost's institutional advantages as chair of the House Veterans' Affairs Committee. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event remain the primary variables that could shift the narrow Democratic path, though none have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$25,195Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his multiple reelection victories including 74 percent in 2024, and endorsements from party leaders. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed in the March primary but trails significantly in fundraising, with under $50,000 raised compared to Bost's over $1 million. The November 3 general election outcome aligns with the district's voting patterns and Bost's institutional advantages as chair of the House Veterans' Affairs Committee. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event remain the primary variables that could shift the narrow Democratic path, though none have emerged.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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