Lauren Underwood, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race heading into the November 3 general election. The suburban Chicago district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and delivered her a 55% victory in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan trends and limited crossover appeal. Underwood faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million raised compared to Republican nominee James Marter’s roughly $140,000. Marter secured the GOP nomination in March after defeating other primary challengers. Trader consensus at 95% for Underwood aligns with these structural factors. A late national wave, unforeseen scandal, or turnout surge in Republican-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though such shifts appear improbable given current indicators.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-14
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-14
$16,880 Объем
$16,880 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Лорен Андервуд (Д)
95%
Джеймс Мартер (Р)
5%
$16,880 Объем
$16,880 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Лорен Андервуд (Д)
$5,376 Объем
95%
Джеймс Мартер (Р)
$11,503 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lauren Underwood, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race heading into the November 3 general election. The suburban Chicago district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and delivered her a 55% victory in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan trends and limited crossover appeal. Underwood faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million raised compared to Republican nominee James Marter’s roughly $140,000. Marter secured the GOP nomination in March after defeating other primary challengers. Trader consensus at 95% for Underwood aligns with these structural factors. A late national wave, unforeseen scandal, or turnout surge in Republican-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though such shifts appear improbable given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$16,880Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lauren Underwood, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race heading into the November 3 general election. The suburban Chicago district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and delivered her a 55% victory in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan trends and limited crossover appeal. Underwood faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million raised compared to Republican nominee James Marter’s roughly $140,000. Marter secured the GOP nomination in March after defeating other primary challengers. Trader consensus at 95% for Underwood aligns with these structural factors. A late national wave, unforeseen scandal, or turnout surge in Republican-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though such shifts appear improbable given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$16,880Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Lauren Underwood, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race heading into the November 3 general election. The suburban Chicago district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and delivered her a 55% victory in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan trends and limited crossover appeal. Underwood faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million raised compared to Republican nominee James Marter’s roughly $140,000. Marter secured the GOP nomination in March after defeating other primary challengers. Trader consensus at 95% for Underwood aligns with these structural factors. A late national wave, unforeseen scandal, or turnout surge in Republican-leaning pockets could narrow the margin, though such shifts appear improbable given current indicators.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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