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icon for ISM Manufacturing PMI - август 2026 г.
Экономика·ISM

ISM Manufacturing PMI - август 2026 г.

icon for ISM Manufacturing PMI - август 2026 г.
Экономика·ISM

ISM Manufacturing PMI - август 2026 г.

Ended: сент. 1

окт. 1

Ended: сент. 1

окт. 1

54,0–54,9 100.0%

<51,0 <1%

51,0–51,9 <1%

52,0–52,9 <1%

Polymarket

$46,913 Объем

54,0–54,9 100.0%

<51,0 <1%

51,0–51,9 <1%

52,0–52,9 <1%

Polymarket

$46,913 Объем

<51,0

$1,304 Объем

Нет

51,0–51,9

$1,179 Объем

Нет

52,0–52,9

$1,600 Объем

Нет

53,0–53,9

$1,447 Объем

Нет

54,0–54,9

$9,755 Объем

Да

55,0–55,9

$25,131 Объем

Нет

56,0–56,9

$2,169 Объем

Нет

57,0–57,9

$1,314 Объем

Нет

58,0–58,9

$2,022 Объем

Нет

59,0+

$993 Объем

Нет

This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI print of 54.6, released September 1, anchored near-certain trader consensus in the 54.0–54.9 bracket by landing squarely inside it after July’s 55.6 expansion high. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and employment to 51.2, alongside stable production at 58.3 and an unchanged Prices Index of 71.1, reflected fading tariff front-loading and lingering supply-chain strains from the Middle East conflict, while still marking the eighth straight month above the 50 expansion threshold. Elevated supplier deliveries at 59.3 and a drop in backlogs to 51.8 signaled persistent cost pressures and softer momentum without tipping into contraction territory. This outcome aligned with the post-July cooling trajectory priced into markets ahead of the release, though any material upward revision or stronger September data could reopen lower-probability brackets.

This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.

The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.

Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.

If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$46,913
Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI print of 54.6, released September 1, anchored near-certain trader consensus in the 54.0–54.9 bracket by landing squarely inside it after July’s 55.6 expansion high. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and employment to 51.2, alongside stable production at 58.3 and an unchanged Prices Index of 71.1, reflected fading tariff front-loading and lingering supply-chain strains from the Middle East conflict, while still marking the eighth straight month above the 50 expansion threshold. Elevated supplier deliveries at 59.3 and a drop in backlogs to 51.8 signaled persistent cost pressures and softer momentum without tipping into contraction territory. This outcome aligned with the post-July cooling trajectory priced into markets ahead of the release, though any material upward revision or stronger September data could reopen lower-probability brackets.

This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.

The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.

Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.

If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$46,913
Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Связанные

icon for Будет ли индекс ISM Manufacturing PMI в сентябре между 53,0 и 53,9?

Будет ли индекс ISM Manufacturing PMI в сентябре между 53,0 и 53,9?

22%
Да
icon for Будет ли индекс деловой активности в сфере услуг ISM находиться в диапазоне от 54,0 до 54,9 в сентябре?

Будет ли индекс деловой активности в сфере услуг ISM находиться в диапазоне от 54,0 до 54,9 в сентябре?

25%
Да
icon for Будет ли индекс PPI в годовом исчислении 5,9% или выше в сентябре?

Будет ли индекс PPI в годовом исчислении 5,9% или выше в сентябре?

32%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«ISM Manufacturing PMI - август 2026 г.» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «54,0–54,9» с 100%, за ним следует «<51,0» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «ISM Manufacturing PMI - август 2026 г.» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $46.9K с момента запуска рынка Aug 4, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «ISM Manufacturing PMI - август 2026 г.», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «ISM Manufacturing PMI - август 2026 г.» — «54,0–54,9» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<51,0» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «ISM Manufacturing PMI - август 2026 г.» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.