**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate a minimum temperature of 13–15 °C for London on September 1, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (14 °C at 50 %, 15 °C at 29.5 %, 13 °C at 26 %).** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds (typically 2–7 mph) is expected to allow temperatures to fall to around 13 °C near dawn, consistent with the historical average low of 12.8 °C for the date. Dew points near 11 °C and building high pressure limit further cooling, while any increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could keep the low closer to 14–15 °C. Multiple runs, including GFS data referenced in current forecasts, show this narrow range with minimal spread, explaining the concentrated trader sentiment around these values and the sharp drop-off in probability below 13 °C or above 15 °C. No significant recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture have altered the consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 1 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 1 сентября?
14°C 50%
13°C 20%
12°C 10%
15°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
10%
13°C
32%
14°C
50%
15°C
25%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C или выше
1%
14°C 50%
13°C 20%
12°C 10%
15°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$80 Объем
<1%
9°C
$363 Объем
1%
10°C
$86 Объем
1%
11°C
$148 Объем
1%
12°C
$288 Объем
10%
13°C
$800 Объем
32%
14°C
$1,464 Объем
50%
15°C
$267 Объем
25%
16°C
$96 Объем
2%
17°C
$79 Объем
1%
18°C или выше
$80 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate a minimum temperature of 13–15 °C for London on September 1, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (14 °C at 50 %, 15 °C at 29.5 %, 13 °C at 26 %).**
Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds (typically 2–7 mph) is expected to allow temperatures to fall to around 13 °C near dawn, consistent with the historical average low of 12.8 °C for the date. Dew points near 11 °C and building high pressure limit further cooling, while any increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could keep the low closer to 14–15 °C. Multiple runs, including GFS data referenced in current forecasts, show this narrow range with minimal spread, explaining the concentrated trader sentiment around these values and the sharp drop-off in probability below 13 °C or above 15 °C. No significant recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture have altered the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$3,752Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate a minimum temperature of 13–15 °C for London on September 1, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (14 °C at 50 %, 15 °C at 29.5 %, 13 °C at 26 %).**
Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds (typically 2–7 mph) is expected to allow temperatures to fall to around 13 °C near dawn, consistent with the historical average low of 12.8 °C for the date. Dew points near 11 °C and building high pressure limit further cooling, while any increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could keep the low closer to 14–15 °C. Multiple runs, including GFS data referenced in current forecasts, show this narrow range with minimal spread, explaining the concentrated trader sentiment around these values and the sharp drop-off in probability below 13 °C or above 15 °C. No significant recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture have altered the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,752Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate a minimum temperature of 13–15 °C for London on September 1, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (14 °C at 50 %, 15 °C at 29.5 %, 13 °C at 26 %).** Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds (typically 2–7 mph) is expected to allow temperatures to fall to around 13 °C near dawn, consistent with the historical average low of 12.8 °C for the date. Dew points near 11 °C and building high pressure limit further cooling, while any increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could keep the low closer to 14–15 °C. Multiple runs, including GFS data referenced in current forecasts, show this narrow range with minimal spread, explaining the concentrated trader sentiment around these values and the sharp drop-off in probability below 13 °C or above 15 °C. No significant recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture have altered the consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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