Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field of more than 20 candidates with roughly one-third of the vote. Former Rep. Steny Hoyer’s early endorsement, combined with substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency super PACs, helped consolidate support in the heavily Democratic district that favored Kamala Harris by 33 points in 2024. Republican nominee Chris Chaffee faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Trader consensus pricing reflects the district’s partisan composition and limited path for the GOP nominee, though an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,216 Объем
$18,216 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Адриан Боафо (Д)
96%
Крис Чаффи (Р)
3%
$18,216 Объем
$18,216 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Адриан Боафо (Д)
$8,754 Объем
96%
Крис Чаффи (Р)
$9,462 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field of more than 20 candidates with roughly one-third of the vote. Former Rep. Steny Hoyer’s early endorsement, combined with substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency super PACs, helped consolidate support in the heavily Democratic district that favored Kamala Harris by 33 points in 2024. Republican nominee Chris Chaffee faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Trader consensus pricing reflects the district’s partisan composition and limited path for the GOP nominee, though an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$18,216Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field of more than 20 candidates with roughly one-third of the vote. Former Rep. Steny Hoyer’s early endorsement, combined with substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency super PACs, helped consolidate support in the heavily Democratic district that favored Kamala Harris by 33 points in 2024. Republican nominee Chris Chaffee faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Trader consensus pricing reflects the district’s partisan composition and limited path for the GOP nominee, though an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,216Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field of more than 20 candidates with roughly one-third of the vote. Former Rep. Steny Hoyer’s early endorsement, combined with substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency super PACs, helped consolidate support in the heavily Democratic district that favored Kamala Harris by 33 points in 2024. Republican nominee Chris Chaffee faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Trader consensus pricing reflects the district’s partisan composition and limited path for the GOP nominee, though an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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