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icon for NM-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Выборы 4 ноября

NM-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

icon for NM-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Выборы 4 ноября

NM-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

Polymarket

$33,424 Объем

Polymarket

$33,424 Объем

Гейб Васкес (Д)

$14,234 Объем

89%

Грег Каннингем (Р)

$19,191 Объем

12%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District race due to his established incumbency, superior fundraising of roughly $3.78 million compared to Republican Greg Cunningham's $1.51 million as of June 2026, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Cunningham secured the GOP nomination in the June primary and benefits from the district's support for President Trump in 2024, along with recent endorsements and a visit from House Speaker Mike Johnson. A late August SurveyUSA poll showed Vasquez leading 46% to 43% with 11% undecided, underscoring a competitive environment where public safety and voter turnout among key groups like Latinos and women could influence the November 3 outcome. Trader consensus appears to weigh Vasquez's structural edges more heavily than polling volatility at this stage.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$33,424
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District race due to his established incumbency, superior fundraising of roughly $3.78 million compared to Republican Greg Cunningham's $1.51 million as of June 2026, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Cunningham secured the GOP nomination in the June primary and benefits from the district's support for President Trump in 2024, along with recent endorsements and a visit from House Speaker Mike Johnson. A late August SurveyUSA poll showed Vasquez leading 46% to 43% with 11% undecided, underscoring a competitive environment where public safety and voter turnout among key groups like Latinos and women could influence the November 3 outcome. Trader consensus appears to weigh Vasquez's structural edges more heavily than polling volatility at this stage.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$33,424
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу IA-02?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу IA-02?

54%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу CO-02?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу CO-02?

95%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей от округа MN-02?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей от округа MN-02?

93%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«NM-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Гейб Васкес (Д)» с 89%, за ним следует «Грег Каннингем (Р)» с 12%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 89¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «NM-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $33.4K с момента запуска рынка Dec 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «NM-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «NM-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — «Гейб Васкес (Д)» с 89%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Грег Каннингем (Р)» с 12%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «NM-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.