Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position as the longtime Democratic incumbent in Oregon's 1st Congressional District, a solidly Democratic area encompassing western Portland suburbs and coastal counties where her party consistently secures large margins. She defeated a primary challenger with 86.6 percent of the vote in May 2026, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with 71.5 percent but faces minimal general-election resources and low name recognition. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and Bonamici's established fundraising and incumbency advantages. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Bonamici aligns with this structural edge. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still introduce uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$27,452 Объем
$27,452 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сюзан Бонамичи (Д)
96%
Барбара Каль (Р)
3%
$27,452 Объем
$27,452 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Сюзан Бонамичи (Д)
$10,566 Объем
96%
Барбара Каль (Р)
$16,887 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position as the longtime Democratic incumbent in Oregon's 1st Congressional District, a solidly Democratic area encompassing western Portland suburbs and coastal counties where her party consistently secures large margins. She defeated a primary challenger with 86.6 percent of the vote in May 2026, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with 71.5 percent but faces minimal general-election resources and low name recognition. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and Bonamici's established fundraising and incumbency advantages. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Bonamici aligns with this structural edge. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still introduce uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$27,452Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position as the longtime Democratic incumbent in Oregon's 1st Congressional District, a solidly Democratic area encompassing western Portland suburbs and coastal counties where her party consistently secures large margins. She defeated a primary challenger with 86.6 percent of the vote in May 2026, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with 71.5 percent but faces minimal general-election resources and low name recognition. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and Bonamici's established fundraising and incumbency advantages. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Bonamici aligns with this structural edge. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still introduce uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$27,452Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Suzanne Bonamici holds a commanding position as the longtime Democratic incumbent in Oregon's 1st Congressional District, a solidly Democratic area encompassing western Portland suburbs and coastal counties where her party consistently secures large margins. She defeated a primary challenger with 86.6 percent of the vote in May 2026, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with 71.5 percent but faces minimal general-election resources and low name recognition. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and Bonamici's established fundraising and incumbency advantages. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Bonamici aligns with this structural edge. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still introduce uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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