Oregon's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote and faces Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's partisan composition, historical results, and limited competitive activity on the Republican side. A major unforeseen development, such as an incumbent scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOR-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OR-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$20,145 Объем
$20,145 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Максин Декстер (Д)
96%
Лоран Айлес (Р)
4%
$20,145 Объем
$20,145 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Максин Декстер (Д)
$4,811 Объем
96%
Лоран Айлес (Р)
$15,334 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote and faces Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's partisan composition, historical results, and limited competitive activity on the Republican side. A major unforeseen development, such as an incumbent scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$20,145Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote and faces Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's partisan composition, historical results, and limited competitive activity on the Republican side. A major unforeseen development, such as an incumbent scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,145Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote and faces Republican Loran Ayles in the November general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's partisan composition, historical results, and limited competitive activity on the Republican side. A major unforeseen development, such as an incumbent scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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