Recent polling in Roraima shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error for the two Senate seats, with combined support around 50% amid 17% undecided and 7% blank or null votes. Voters select two candidates, so the fragmented field and high share of undecideds sustain tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Nicoletti the highest implied probability for finishing second, followed by Surita and da Asatur, while lower-polling names such as Chico Rodrigues and Hélio Bolsonaro trail significantly. Late consolidation of undecided voters, turnout shifts among key blocs, or last-minute alliances could reorder the second slot before the October 4 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNicoletti 46.3%
Teresa Surita 29%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$62,057 Объем
$62,057 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Nicoletti
46%
Teresa Surita
29%
Helena da Asatur
19%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
3%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 46.3%
Teresa Surita 29%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$62,057 Объем
$62,057 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Nicoletti
$10,916 Объем
46%
Teresa Surita
$18,415 Объем
29%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 Объем
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 Объем
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
$8,898 Объем
3%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Объем
<1%
Mario Rocha
$768 Объем
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Объем
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Объем
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Объем
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Объем
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Объем
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Roraima shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error for the two Senate seats, with combined support around 50% amid 17% undecided and 7% blank or null votes. Voters select two candidates, so the fragmented field and high share of undecideds sustain tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Nicoletti the highest implied probability for finishing second, followed by Surita and da Asatur, while lower-polling names such as Chico Rodrigues and Hélio Bolsonaro trail significantly. Late consolidation of undecided voters, turnout shifts among key blocs, or last-minute alliances could reorder the second slot before the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Объем
$62,057Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Roraima shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error for the two Senate seats, with combined support around 50% amid 17% undecided and 7% blank or null votes. Voters select two candidates, so the fragmented field and high share of undecideds sustain tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Nicoletti the highest implied probability for finishing second, followed by Surita and da Asatur, while lower-polling names such as Chico Rodrigues and Hélio Bolsonaro trail significantly. Late consolidation of undecided voters, turnout shifts among key blocs, or last-minute alliances could reorder the second slot before the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$62,057Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Roraima shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error for the two Senate seats, with combined support around 50% amid 17% undecided and 7% blank or null votes. Voters select two candidates, so the fragmented field and high share of undecideds sustain tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Nicoletti the highest implied probability for finishing second, followed by Surita and da Asatur, while lower-polling names such as Chico Rodrigues and Hélio Bolsonaro trail significantly. Late consolidation of undecided voters, turnout shifts among key blocs, or last-minute alliances could reorder the second slot before the October 4 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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