Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place due to her extensive local record as five-time mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal deputy service, which has translated into a narrow polling lead. The latest Quaest survey from late August placed her at 19% against Nicoletti (PL) at 17% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and high undecided shares leaving the outcome fluid. Voters cast two ballots for the two seats in the October 4 election, and the fragmented field plus recent legal rulings—such as the bar on Hélio Bolsonaro using that surname—have kept the top contenders closely bunched. Shifts in undecided consolidation, turnout among key regional blocs, or last-minute alliances could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTeresa Surita 54%
Nicoletti 28.0%
Helio Bolsonaro 4.5%
Helena da Asatur 3.7%
$51,537 Объем
$51,537 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Teresa Surita
54%
Nicoletti
28%
Helio Bolsonaro
4%
Helena da Asatur
10%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 54%
Nicoletti 28.0%
Helio Bolsonaro 4.5%
Helena da Asatur 3.7%
$51,537 Объем
$51,537 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Teresa Surita
$21,937 Объем
54%
Nicoletti
$10,920 Объем
28%
Helio Bolsonaro
$8,801 Объем
4%
Helena da Asatur
$3,022 Объем
10%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,533 Объем
3%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Объем
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Объем
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Объем
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Объем
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Объем
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Объем
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Объем
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place due to her extensive local record as five-time mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal deputy service, which has translated into a narrow polling lead. The latest Quaest survey from late August placed her at 19% against Nicoletti (PL) at 17% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and high undecided shares leaving the outcome fluid. Voters cast two ballots for the two seats in the October 4 election, and the fragmented field plus recent legal rulings—such as the bar on Hélio Bolsonaro using that surname—have kept the top contenders closely bunched. Shifts in undecided consolidation, turnout among key regional blocs, or last-minute alliances could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Объем
$51,537Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place due to her extensive local record as five-time mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal deputy service, which has translated into a narrow polling lead. The latest Quaest survey from late August placed her at 19% against Nicoletti (PL) at 17% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and high undecided shares leaving the outcome fluid. Voters cast two ballots for the two seats in the October 4 election, and the fragmented field plus recent legal rulings—such as the bar on Hélio Bolsonaro using that surname—have kept the top contenders closely bunched. Shifts in undecided consolidation, turnout among key regional blocs, or last-minute alliances could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$51,537Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place due to her extensive local record as five-time mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal deputy service, which has translated into a narrow polling lead. The latest Quaest survey from late August placed her at 19% against Nicoletti (PL) at 17% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and high undecided shares leaving the outcome fluid. Voters cast two ballots for the two seats in the October 4 election, and the fragmented field plus recent legal rulings—such as the bar on Hélio Bolsonaro using that surname—have kept the top contenders closely bunched. Shifts in undecided consolidation, turnout among key regional blocs, or last-minute alliances could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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