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icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Сержипи
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Сержипи

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Сержипи
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Сержипи

Фабио 90%

Вальмир де Франсискиньо 11%

Тати Кристина де Жезус <1%

Эмануэль Кашо <1%

Polymarket

$19,754 Объем

Фабио 90%

Вальмир де Франсискиньо 11%

Тати Кристина де Жезус <1%

Эмануэль Кашо <1%

Polymarket

$19,754 Объем

icon for Фабио

Фабио

$15,658 Объем

90%

icon for Вальмир де Франсискиньо

Вальмир де Франсискиньо

$1,715 Объем

11%

icon for Тати Кристина де Жезус

Тати Кристина де Жезус

$637 Объем

1%

icon for Эмануэль Кашо

Эмануэль Кашо

$618 Объем

<1%

icon for Доктор Хелтон

Доктор Хелтон

$682 Объем

<1%

icon for Рикардо Маркес

Рикардо Маркес

$443 Объем

<1%

The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a dominant 90% implied probability in the Sergipe governor market due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages. Recent surveys, including a late August Quaest poll showing him at 40% against Valmir de Francisquinho’s 28% and a September update placing him near 43-45%, reflect his edge among the six registered candidates ahead of the October 4 first round. Mitidieri benefits from the governorship’s visibility, alliances with parties such as PP and União Brasil, and lower rejection ratings relative to challengers. Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) trails at 10.5% as the main opposition figure, while minor candidates including Ricardo Marques, Taty Cristina de Jesus, Emanuel Cacho, and Dr. Helton register under 1%. The first-round timeline and potential runoff on October 25 remain key variables, though current voter intentions favor consolidation around the incumbent.

The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$19,754
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a dominant 90% implied probability in the Sergipe governor market due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages. Recent surveys, including a late August Quaest poll showing him at 40% against Valmir de Francisquinho’s 28% and a September update placing him near 43-45%, reflect his edge among the six registered candidates ahead of the October 4 first round. Mitidieri benefits from the governorship’s visibility, alliances with parties such as PP and União Brasil, and lower rejection ratings relative to challengers. Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) trails at 10.5% as the main opposition figure, while minor candidates including Ricardo Marques, Taty Cristina de Jesus, Emanuel Cacho, and Dr. Helton register under 1%. The first-round timeline and potential runoff on October 25 remain key variables, though current voter intentions favor consolidation around the incumbent.

The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$19,754
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Тарсисиу де Фрейтас выборы губернатора Сан-Паулу в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Тарсисиу де Фрейтас выборы губернатора Сан-Паулу в 2026 году?

98%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли доктор Фурлан выборы губернатора Амапа в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли доктор Фурлан выборы губернатора Амапа в 2026 году?

87%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

81%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Сержипи» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Фабио» с 90%, за ним следует «Вальмир де Франсискиньо» с 11%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 90¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов губернатора Сержипи» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $19.8K с момента запуска рынка Aug 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Сержипи», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Сержипи» — «Фабио» с 90%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Вальмир де Франсискиньо» с 11%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Сержипи» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.