Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the area's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in the May runoff after a low-turnout contest. Substantial fundraising disparities, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to under $10,000 for Prince as of mid-2026, reinforce the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but shows limited visibility. Late-cycle developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$45,127 Объем
$45,127 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Натан Натанил Моран (Р)
95%
Йоланда Принс (Д)
5%
$45,127 Объем
$45,127 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Натан Натанил Моран (Р)
$5,321 Объем
95%
Йоланда Принс (Д)
$39,806 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the area's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in the May runoff after a low-turnout contest. Substantial fundraising disparities, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to under $10,000 for Prince as of mid-2026, reinforce the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but shows limited visibility. Late-cycle developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$45,127Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the area's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in the May runoff after a low-turnout contest. Substantial fundraising disparities, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to under $10,000 for Prince as of mid-2026, reinforce the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but shows limited visibility. Late-cycle developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$45,127Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the area's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in the May runoff after a low-turnout contest. Substantial fundraising disparities, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to under $10,000 for Prince as of mid-2026, reinforce the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but shows limited visibility. Late-cycle developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы