Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 30th congressional district with a decisive primary victory and strong backing from outgoing Representative Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open-seat race. The district’s established Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting patterns and historical voting margins, has driven trader consensus toward Haynes at 96 percent. Everett Jackson’s Republican nomination followed a May runoff, but the seat’s structural advantages and limited GOP fundraising have kept his implied probability low. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Late developments such as unusually low turnout, a significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal remain the primary factors that could alter the current positioning before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-30 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-30 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$48,309 Объем
$48,309 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Фредерик Хейнс III (Д)
96%
Эверетт Джексон (Р)
3%
$48,309 Объем
$48,309 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Фредерик Хейнс III (Д)
$5,583 Объем
96%
Эверетт Джексон (Р)
$42,726 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 30th congressional district with a decisive primary victory and strong backing from outgoing Representative Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open-seat race. The district’s established Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting patterns and historical voting margins, has driven trader consensus toward Haynes at 96 percent. Everett Jackson’s Republican nomination followed a May runoff, but the seat’s structural advantages and limited GOP fundraising have kept his implied probability low. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Late developments such as unusually low turnout, a significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal remain the primary factors that could alter the current positioning before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$48,309Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 30th congressional district with a decisive primary victory and strong backing from outgoing Representative Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open-seat race. The district’s established Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting patterns and historical voting margins, has driven trader consensus toward Haynes at 96 percent. Everett Jackson’s Republican nomination followed a May runoff, but the seat’s structural advantages and limited GOP fundraising have kept his implied probability low. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Late developments such as unusually low turnout, a significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal remain the primary factors that could alter the current positioning before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$48,309Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 30th congressional district with a decisive primary victory and strong backing from outgoing Representative Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this open-seat race. The district’s established Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting patterns and historical voting margins, has driven trader consensus toward Haynes at 96 percent. Everett Jackson’s Republican nomination followed a May runoff, but the seat’s structural advantages and limited GOP fundraising have kept his implied probability low. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Late developments such as unusually low turnout, a significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal remain the primary factors that could alter the current positioning before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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