John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 contest as the longtime Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+11 and consistent GOP presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against several challengers, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott along with substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from his primary but trails significantly in resources and faces the structural challenges of competing in this suburban and military-influenced Central Texas district ahead of the November 3 general election. A late national shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related development could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-31 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-31 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$45,380 Объем
$45,380 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джон Картер (Р)
94%
Джастин Эрли (Д)
7%
$45,380 Объем
$45,380 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джон Картер (Р)
$24,919 Объем
94%
Джастин Эрли (Д)
$20,462 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 contest as the longtime Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+11 and consistent GOP presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against several challengers, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott along with substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from his primary but trails significantly in resources and faces the structural challenges of competing in this suburban and military-influenced Central Texas district ahead of the November 3 general election. A late national shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related development could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$45,380Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 contest as the longtime Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+11 and consistent GOP presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against several challengers, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott along with substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from his primary but trails significantly in resources and faces the structural challenges of competing in this suburban and military-influenced Central Texas district ahead of the November 3 general election. A late national shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related development could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$45,380Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 contest as the longtime Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+11 and consistent GOP presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against several challengers, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott along with substantial fundraising. Democratic nominee Justin Early advanced from his primary but trails significantly in resources and faces the structural challenges of competing in this suburban and military-influenced Central Texas district ahead of the November 3 general election. A late national shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related development could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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