Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, following redistricting that preserved the seat’s deep Democratic lean in the Dallas-Fort Worth area. Multiple forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Allred, a former three-term representative with substantial name recognition and campaign resources exceeding $6 million, faces Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, who advanced from his own runoff but reports negligible fundraising and limited visibility. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district where historical Democratic margins have consistently exceeded 30 points. Trader consensus favoring Allred at 96 percent aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals or major scandals could theoretically alter dynamics in the remaining weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-33 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-33 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$15,594 Объем
$15,594 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Колин Алльред (Д)
96%
Патрик Гиллеспи (Р)
1%
$15,594 Объем
$15,594 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Колин Алльред (Д)
$3,095 Объем
96%
Патрик Гиллеспи (Р)
$12,499 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, following redistricting that preserved the seat’s deep Democratic lean in the Dallas-Fort Worth area. Multiple forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Allred, a former three-term representative with substantial name recognition and campaign resources exceeding $6 million, faces Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, who advanced from his own runoff but reports negligible fundraising and limited visibility. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district where historical Democratic margins have consistently exceeded 30 points. Trader consensus favoring Allred at 96 percent aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals or major scandals could theoretically alter dynamics in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$15,594Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, following redistricting that preserved the seat’s deep Democratic lean in the Dallas-Fort Worth area. Multiple forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Allred, a former three-term representative with substantial name recognition and campaign resources exceeding $6 million, faces Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, who advanced from his own runoff but reports negligible fundraising and limited visibility. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district where historical Democratic margins have consistently exceeded 30 points. Trader consensus favoring Allred at 96 percent aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals or major scandals could theoretically alter dynamics in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,594Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, following redistricting that preserved the seat’s deep Democratic lean in the Dallas-Fort Worth area. Multiple forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Allred, a former three-term representative with substantial name recognition and campaign resources exceeding $6 million, faces Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, who advanced from his own runoff but reports negligible fundraising and limited visibility. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district where historical Democratic margins have consistently exceeded 30 points. Trader consensus favoring Allred at 96 percent aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals or major scandals could theoretically alter dynamics in the remaining weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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