Recent monthly US trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 amid a 2.8% import rise to $399.3 billion, driven by AI-related capital goods such as semiconductors and computers, while exports fell 2.1%. The trailing twelve-month total stands near $744 billion, with AI demand and resilient domestic consumption providing upward pressure on imports that largely offsets energy export gains and the unwind of prior tariff front-loading. Trader consensus clusters tightly in the $700–900 billion range for the full-year figure because further monthly releases through year-end, shifts in the dollar, and any additional trade policy measures remain key swing factors that could push the annual total higher or lower within that band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$24,712 Объем
$24,712 Объем
27 фев. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
3%
500–600 млрд
5%
600–700 млрд
10%
700–800 млрд
28%
800–900 млрд
37%
900 млрд – 1 трлн
14%
1–1,1 трлн
3%
1,1 трлн+
4%
$24,712 Объем
$24,712 Объем
27 фев. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
$16,854 Объем
3%
500–600 млрд
$454 Объем
5%
600–700 млрд
$543 Объем
10%
700–800 млрд
$720 Объем
28%
800–900 млрд
$1,845 Объем
37%
900 млрд – 1 трлн
$1,509 Объем
14%
1–1,1 трлн
$1,572 Объем
3%
1,1 трлн+
$1,215 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly US trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 amid a 2.8% import rise to $399.3 billion, driven by AI-related capital goods such as semiconductors and computers, while exports fell 2.1%. The trailing twelve-month total stands near $744 billion, with AI demand and resilient domestic consumption providing upward pressure on imports that largely offsets energy export gains and the unwind of prior tariff front-loading. Trader consensus clusters tightly in the $700–900 billion range for the full-year figure because further monthly releases through year-end, shifts in the dollar, and any additional trade policy measures remain key swing factors that could push the annual total higher or lower within that band.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$24,712Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly US trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 amid a 2.8% import rise to $399.3 billion, driven by AI-related capital goods such as semiconductors and computers, while exports fell 2.1%. The trailing twelve-month total stands near $744 billion, with AI demand and resilient domestic consumption providing upward pressure on imports that largely offsets energy export gains and the unwind of prior tariff front-loading. Trader consensus clusters tightly in the $700–900 billion range for the full-year figure because further monthly releases through year-end, shifts in the dollar, and any additional trade policy measures remain key swing factors that could push the annual total higher or lower within that band.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Объем
$24,712Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly US trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 amid a 2.8% import rise to $399.3 billion, driven by AI-related capital goods such as semiconductors and computers, while exports fell 2.1%. The trailing twelve-month total stands near $744 billion, with AI demand and resilient domestic consumption providing upward pressure on imports that largely offsets energy export gains and the unwind of prior tariff front-loading. Trader consensus clusters tightly in the $700–900 billion range for the full-year figure because further monthly releases through year-end, shifts in the dollar, and any additional trade policy measures remain key swing factors that could push the annual total higher or lower within that band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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