Chellie Pingree’s long incumbency since 2009 and repeated double-digit victories in Maine’s 1st district, including a 22-point win over Ronald Russell in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring her reelection. The district’s southern Maine composition, centered on Greater Portland, has consistently supported Democratic candidates, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Russell, a retired Army colonel and repeat nominee who prevailed in the June 2026 Republican primary, faces the same structural disadvantages as in the prior cycle. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major recent shifts in polling or candidate circumstances reported, the implied probability reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Pingree’s established voter support, though late developments such as national economic swings or unforeseen candidate issues could still alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วME-01 House Election Winner
ME-01 House Election Winner
$45,036 ปริมาณ
$45,036 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Chellie Pingree (D)
95%
Ronald Russell (R)
4%
$45,036 ปริมาณ
$45,036 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Chellie Pingree (D)
$30,135 ปริมาณ
95%
Ronald Russell (R)
$14,900 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree’s long incumbency since 2009 and repeated double-digit victories in Maine’s 1st district, including a 22-point win over Ronald Russell in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring her reelection. The district’s southern Maine composition, centered on Greater Portland, has consistently supported Democratic candidates, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Russell, a retired Army colonel and repeat nominee who prevailed in the June 2026 Republican primary, faces the same structural disadvantages as in the prior cycle. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major recent shifts in polling or candidate circumstances reported, the implied probability reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Pingree’s established voter support, though late developments such as national economic swings or unforeseen candidate issues could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,036วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree’s long incumbency since 2009 and repeated double-digit victories in Maine’s 1st district, including a 22-point win over Ronald Russell in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring her reelection. The district’s southern Maine composition, centered on Greater Portland, has consistently supported Democratic candidates, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Russell, a retired Army colonel and repeat nominee who prevailed in the June 2026 Republican primary, faces the same structural disadvantages as in the prior cycle. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major recent shifts in polling or candidate circumstances reported, the implied probability reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Pingree’s established voter support, though late developments such as national economic swings or unforeseen candidate issues could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,036วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Chellie Pingree’s long incumbency since 2009 and repeated double-digit victories in Maine’s 1st district, including a 22-point win over Ronald Russell in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring her reelection. The district’s southern Maine composition, centered on Greater Portland, has consistently supported Democratic candidates, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Russell, a retired Army colonel and repeat nominee who prevailed in the June 2026 Republican primary, faces the same structural disadvantages as in the prior cycle. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major recent shifts in polling or candidate circumstances reported, the implied probability reflects the district’s partisan baseline and Pingree’s established voter support, though late developments such as national economic swings or unforeseen candidate issues could still alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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