Recent August 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.26% year-over-year, with core at 3.88%, anchors trader sentiment for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation outcome. Banxico's August quarterly report projects average headline inflation near 3.5% for Q4 2026, with convergence to the 3% target delayed to late 2027 amid sticky services prices and upside risks from USMCA trade uncertainty, peso depreciation, and external shocks. Analyst surveys place end-2026 expectations around 3.9%, supporting the market-implied odds favoring the 3.50-3.99% bucket over the closely trailing 4.00-4.49% range. Persistent core pressures and balanced growth risks keep probabilities competitive, with upcoming September inflation and Banxico policy decisions likely to influence near-term repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMexico Annual Inflation 2026
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99% 44.5%
4.00% to 4.49% 37%
3.00% to 3.49% 8.1%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
$69,371 ปริมาณ
$69,371 ปริมาณ
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
4%
2.50% to 2.99%
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
8%
3.50% to 3.99%
45%
4.00% to 4.49%
37%
4.50% to 4.99%
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
4%
5.50%+
1%
3.50% to 3.99% 44.5%
4.00% to 4.49% 37%
3.00% to 3.49% 8.1%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
$69,371 ปริมาณ
$69,371 ปริมาณ
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
$1,245 ปริมาณ
4%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,945 ปริมาณ
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
$29,175 ปริมาณ
8%
3.50% to 3.99%
$5,479 ปริมาณ
45%
4.00% to 4.49%
$14,528 ปริมาณ
37%
4.50% to 4.99%
$5,030 ปริมาณ
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
$2,617 ปริมาณ
4%
5.50%+
$6,353 ปริมาณ
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent August 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.26% year-over-year, with core at 3.88%, anchors trader sentiment for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation outcome. Banxico's August quarterly report projects average headline inflation near 3.5% for Q4 2026, with convergence to the 3% target delayed to late 2027 amid sticky services prices and upside risks from USMCA trade uncertainty, peso depreciation, and external shocks. Analyst surveys place end-2026 expectations around 3.9%, supporting the market-implied odds favoring the 3.50-3.99% bucket over the closely trailing 4.00-4.49% range. Persistent core pressures and balanced growth risks keep probabilities competitive, with upcoming September inflation and Banxico policy decisions likely to influence near-term repricing.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,371วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 8, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent August 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.26% year-over-year, with core at 3.88%, anchors trader sentiment for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation outcome. Banxico's August quarterly report projects average headline inflation near 3.5% for Q4 2026, with convergence to the 3% target delayed to late 2027 amid sticky services prices and upside risks from USMCA trade uncertainty, peso depreciation, and external shocks. Analyst surveys place end-2026 expectations around 3.9%, supporting the market-implied odds favoring the 3.50-3.99% bucket over the closely trailing 4.00-4.49% range. Persistent core pressures and balanced growth risks keep probabilities competitive, with upcoming September inflation and Banxico policy decisions likely to influence near-term repricing.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,371วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 8, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent August 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.26% year-over-year, with core at 3.88%, anchors trader sentiment for Mexico's 2026 annual inflation outcome. Banxico's August quarterly report projects average headline inflation near 3.5% for Q4 2026, with convergence to the 3% target delayed to late 2027 amid sticky services prices and upside risks from USMCA trade uncertainty, peso depreciation, and external shocks. Analyst surveys place end-2026 expectations around 3.9%, supporting the market-implied odds favoring the 3.50-3.99% bucket over the closely trailing 4.00-4.49% range. Persistent core pressures and balanced growth risks keep probabilities competitive, with upcoming September inflation and Banxico policy decisions likely to influence near-term repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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