Incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his strong primary performance, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million in cash on hand, and prior victory over the same Republican nominee in 2024. The district, which Trump carried narrowly in the prior presidential contest, has shown a modest Democratic tilt in congressional voting. Forecasters rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that reflects Suozzi’s incumbency advantages and organizational strength ahead of the November 3 general election. LiPetri’s path to an upset would require significant shifts from national conditions, turnout patterns, or late developments that have not yet materialized in polling or campaign metrics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$26,567 ปริมาณ
$26,567 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
8%
$26,567 ปริมาณ
$26,567 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
$12,642 ปริมาณ
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
$13,925 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his strong primary performance, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million in cash on hand, and prior victory over the same Republican nominee in 2024. The district, which Trump carried narrowly in the prior presidential contest, has shown a modest Democratic tilt in congressional voting. Forecasters rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that reflects Suozzi’s incumbency advantages and organizational strength ahead of the November 3 general election. LiPetri’s path to an upset would require significant shifts from national conditions, turnout patterns, or late developments that have not yet materialized in polling or campaign metrics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,567วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his strong primary performance, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million in cash on hand, and prior victory over the same Republican nominee in 2024. The district, which Trump carried narrowly in the prior presidential contest, has shown a modest Democratic tilt in congressional voting. Forecasters rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that reflects Suozzi’s incumbency advantages and organizational strength ahead of the November 3 general election. LiPetri’s path to an upset would require significant shifts from national conditions, turnout patterns, or late developments that have not yet materialized in polling or campaign metrics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,567วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Tom Suozzi holds a commanding position in the NY-03 House race due to his strong primary performance, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million in cash on hand, and prior victory over the same Republican nominee in 2024. The district, which Trump carried narrowly in the prior presidential contest, has shown a modest Democratic tilt in congressional voting. Forecasters rate the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that reflects Suozzi’s incumbency advantages and organizational strength ahead of the November 3 general election. LiPetri’s path to an upset would require significant shifts from national conditions, turnout patterns, or late developments that have not yet materialized in polling or campaign metrics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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