Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an outcome driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America alongside strong support among younger and college-educated voters. The district’s heavily Democratic composition, with consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, positions her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican nominee Jomo M. Williams. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling momentum. A realistic shift would require a significant late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic seats indicate limited volatility before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,925 ปริมาณ
$39,925 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
2%
$39,925 ปริมาณ
$39,925 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
$27,409 ปริมาณ
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
$12,516 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an outcome driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America alongside strong support among younger and college-educated voters. The district’s heavily Democratic composition, with consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, positions her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican nominee Jomo M. Williams. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling momentum. A realistic shift would require a significant late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic seats indicate limited volatility before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,925วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an outcome driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America alongside strong support among younger and college-educated voters. The district’s heavily Democratic composition, with consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, positions her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican nominee Jomo M. Williams. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling momentum. A realistic shift would require a significant late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic seats indicate limited volatility before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,925วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an outcome driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America alongside strong support among younger and college-educated voters. The district’s heavily Democratic composition, with consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, positions her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican nominee Jomo M. Williams. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling momentum. A realistic shift would require a significant late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic seats indicate limited volatility before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย